Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports


	Caen		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.6	Watch
	2	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.53	3.8
	1.91	3.2	3.4
	2	3.6	3.58	Watch
	2	3.55	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.14)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)	3.57 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
47%

Draw
26.8%

Saint-Étienne
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.1%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.2%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Caen - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: Caen will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 4. Henry V. 91. Ntim E. 3. Bolumbu D. 29. Thomas R. (C) 2. Abdi A. 6. Daubin Q. 61. Traore B. 23. Autret M. 10. Zady C. 19. Mendy A.	30. Larsonneur G. (G) 8. Appiah D. 21. Batubinsika D. 19. Petrot L. 23. Briancon A. (C) 6. Bouchouari B. 5. Tardieu F. 17. Diarra S. 26. Fomba L. 18. Cafaro M. 10. Charbonier G.
Substitutes
16. Clementia Y. (G) 92. Coeff A. 28. Diani D. 7. Gomis T. 17. Kyeremeh G. 8. Le Bihan M. 18. Mbock H.	13. Bentayg M. 32. Cisse K. 42. Green E. (G) 22. Lobry V. 29. Moueffek A. 20. Rivera M. 9. Sissoko I.
Coaches
Furlan J.	Batlles L.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 0.

Caen is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Saint-Étienne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Caen won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
02.09.23	Laval - Caen	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Caen - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Concarneau - Caen	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Caen - Pau	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Paris FC - Caen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
02.09.23	Saint-Étienne - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
28.08.23	Annecy - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Saint-Étienne - Quevilly	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Rodez - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	Saint-Étienne - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.05.23	Caen - Saint-Étienne	2:2
30.12.22	Saint-Étienne - Caen	1:1
French Ligue 1
16.03.19	Caen - Saint-Étienne	0:5
22.09.18	Saint-Étienne - Caen	2:1
27.01.18	Saint-Étienne - Caen	2:1
12.08.17	Caen - Saint-Étienne	0:1
26.02.17	Saint-Étienne - Caen	0:1

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