Match Info

WALES: FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Caerau Ely		Bala Town

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.46
	5.4	4.3	1.47
	5.43	4.32	1.44
	5.69	4.5	1.45	Watch
	4.33	4.75	1.5
	5.9	4.33	1.43
	5.4	4.3	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (4.4)	4.39 ↓ (4.8)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
17%

Draw
20.7%

Bala Town
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

19%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

18.5%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Bala Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Caerau Ely - Bala Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, Lewis C. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
22.11.24	Caerau Ely - Afan Lido	3:0 ✺
12.11.24	Caerau Ely - Trefelin	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Caerau Ely - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Cambrian United - Caerau Ely	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWT
- Bala Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
04.12.24	Bala Town - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Haverfordwest County - Bala Town	0:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Flint Town United - Bala Town	2:3 penalties ✺
Welsh League Cup
13.11.24	The New Saints - Bala Town	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
09.11.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
09.12.23	Caerau Ely - Bala Town	1:4

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