Match Info

Cymru South - Round 14

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Caerau Ely		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.78	3.82	3.51
	1.87	3.87	3.62	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.5
	1.88	3.48	3.55
	1.83	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.82)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)	3.55 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
49.2%

Draw
25.2%

Aberystwyth Town
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

23.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Caerau Ely - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Caerau Ely will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Caerau Ely will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Griffiths D. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aberystwyth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Caerau is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh FA Cup
13.12.25	Caerau Ely - Llandudno	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
28.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Caerau Ely - Cambrian United	2:3 ✺
31.10.25	Afan Lido - Caerau Ely	3:2 ✺
21.10.25	Caerau Ely - Newport City	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLW
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
29.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cambrian United	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Ynyshir Albions	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Newport City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWL

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