Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Cagliari		Brescia

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.9
	1.87	3.3	4.25
	1.93	3.3	3.9
	1.95	3.46	4.37
	1.95	3.25	4
	1.88	3.42	4.25	Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.02)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	4.03 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
49%

Draw
27.8%

Brescia
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.4%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

29.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	35.7%	14.3%

Cagliari - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Cagliari has the most likely position - 3 (8.94%), has project points - 59, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (49%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Brescia has the most likely position - 4 (8.46%), has project points - 58, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (22%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

This event has quality 39, importance 40, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Cagliari is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brescia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brescia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cagliari is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie B
07.10.22	Genoa - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Cagliari - Venezia	1:4 ✺
17.09.22	Cagliari - Bari	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	Benevento - Cagliari	0:2 ✺
02.09.22	Cagliari - Modena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLWW
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
08.10.22	Brescia - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Bari - Brescia	6:2 ✺
16.09.22	Brescia - Benevento	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Modena - Brescia	1:3 ✺
03.09.22	Brescia - Perugia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
19.01.20	Brescia - Cagliari	2:2
25.08.19	Cagliari - Brescia	0:1
Club Friendly
22.07.17	Brescia - Cagliari	2:2
Italian Serie B
16.04.16	Cagliari - Brescia	6:0
28.11.15	Brescia - Cagliari	4:0

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