Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 31

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Prontera A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Cagliari		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.6
	1.8	3.4	4.6
	1.93	3.28	4.85
	1.83	3.2	4.75
	1.87	3.32	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.95)	3.28 ↑ (3.26)	4.59 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
50.7%

Draw
28.8%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

29.6%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	40%	26.7%

Cagliari - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Südtirol will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Cagliari has the most likely position - 5 (20.58%), project points - 58, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a good chance of prom. playoffs (90%), a chance of promoted (22%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Südtirol has the most likely position - 3 (30.77%), project points - 61, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (96%), a chance of promoted (22%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 39, importance 48, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Cagliari is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.03.23	Reggina - Cagliari	0:4 ✺
10.03.23	Cagliari - Ascoli	4:1 ✺
05.03.23	Brescia - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
01.03.23	Cagliari - Genoa	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Venezia - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWTTT
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
18.03.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - SPAL	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Parma - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Perugia	2:1 ✺
01.03.23	Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.11.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cagliari	2:2

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