Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Miele G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Cagliari		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.98	3.1	4.1
	2	3.1	4.1
	2	3.05	4
	2	3.23	4.54
	2.1	3.1	3.7
	1.95	3.24	4.25	Watch
	2	3.15	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.12)	3.15 ↑ (3)	4.13 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
47.2%

Draw
30%

Ascoli
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

31.2%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

32.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	24%	24%

Cagliari - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Ascoli will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Cagliari has the most likely position - 7 (14.38%), has project points - 54, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (62%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ascoli has the most likely position - 11 (12.82%), has project points - 49, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, small importance 22, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Cagliari is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ascoli is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cagliari will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie B
05.03.23	Brescia - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
01.03.23	Cagliari - Genoa	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Venezia - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Bari - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Cagliari - Benevento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTTW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
05.03.23	Ascoli - Bari	0:1 ✺
01.03.23	Modena - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Ascoli - Benevento	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Parma - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Ascoli - Perugia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.10.22	Ascoli - Cagliari	2:1
09.04.16	Ascoli - Cagliari	2:1
23.11.15	Cagliari - Ascoli	3:0

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