Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport


	Parma		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5.25
	1.7	3.5	5	Watch
	1.72	3.64	5.64
	1.73	3.64	5.64
	1.53	3.7	5.8
	1.68	3.68	5.15	Watch
	1.65	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	3.66 ↓ (3.71)	5.3 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
56.5%

Draw
25.8%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

24.6%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	13.3%	6.7%

Parma - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: Parma will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 4. Balogh B. 39. Circati A. 77. Di Chiara G. 11. Begic T. 8. Estevez N. 10. Bernabe A. 17. Colak A. 13. Bonny A. 98. Man D.	1. Poluzzi G. (G) 30. Giorgini A. 5. Vinetot K. 55. Masiello A. 24. Davi S. 15. Broh J. T. 21. Tait F. (C) 17. Casiraghi D. 11. Ciervo R. 90. Odogwu R. 18. Rover M.
Substitutes
14. Ansaldi C. 7. Benedyczak A. 23. Camara D. 9. Charpentier G. 40. Corvi E. (G) 26. Coulibaly W. 20. Hainaut A. 61. Haj Mohamed A. 27. Hernani 19. Sohm S. 22. Turk M. (G) 47. Zagaritis V.	3. Cagnano A. 26. Cisco A. 14. Cuomo G. 12. Drago G. (G) 6. Ghiringhelli L. 28. Kofler R. 77. Lonardi L. 33. Merkaj S. 9. Pecorino E. 42. Peeters D. 23. Rauti N. 7. Siega N.
Coaches
Pecchia F.	Bisoli P.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 9).

Parma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Südtirol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Parma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Parma have a series of guest games.

In this match Parma is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Parma to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Parma won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Coppa Italia
01.11.23	Lecce - Parma	2:4 ✺
Italian Serie B
28.10.23	Ascoli - Parma	1:3 ✺
20.10.23	Parma - Como	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Venezia - Parma	3:2 ✺
01.10.23	Cremonese - Parma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWLW
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
28.10.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Cremonese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.10.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Swarovski Tirol	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
07.10.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Palermo - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
11.03.23	Parma - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0
22.10.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Parma	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
24.04.17	Parma - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
08.12.16	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Parma	0:1

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