Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Heroes de San Ramon (Cajamarca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cajamarca		Sport Boys

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.12	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.16	3.3	3.32
	2.1	3.43	3.29	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.3
	2.14	3.25	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.55)	3.25 ↑ (3.12)	3.29 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
43.5%

Draw
28.4%

Sport Boys
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.

Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cajamarca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cajamarca - Sport Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aspajo S. (G) 44. Gomez C. 14. Rodas A. 22. Almiron M. 13. Lagos R. 11. Arrasco M. 18. Orejuela J. G. 20. Meza C. 17. Palacios B. 31. Enciso S. 9. Barcos H. (C)	22. Melian D. (G) 10. Alarcon J. 17. Saba E. 3. Zambrano C. 26. Riojas H. (C) 13. Llontop M. 11. Urruti L. 47. Trauco M. 24. Mora O. 30. Liza P. 9. Nequecaur L.
Substitutes
32. Alegria P. 5. Bernaola B. 27. Betancourt J. 10. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 1. Mosquera C. (G) 8. Moyano A. 25. Paucar E. 19. Peralta S. 4. Rosell Delgado J. A. 30. Vega J. C.	4. Alfani R. 14. Diaz R. 28. Gonzales E. 5. Illanes F. 7. Lopez C. 29. Loyola N. 36. Paz N. 1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 80. Torres J.
Coaches
Ayala Gavilan C. R.	Desio C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Rodas A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Mora O. (Own goal),
32', Almiron M. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Arrasco M. ⚽,
39', Mora O. 🟨,
44', Orejuela J. G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Mora O. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Urruti L. ⚽, Alarcon J. (A),
61', Zambrano C. 🟨,
66', Liza P. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Gomez C. (A),
69', Palacios B. 🟨,
74', Alarcon J. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
74', Trauco M. ↓, Gonzales E. ↑,
76', Arrasco M. ↓, Moyano A. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Saba E. ⚽, Lopez C. (A),
81', Palacios B. ↓, Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↑,
90+5', Enciso S. ↓, Paucar E. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 16).

Cajamarca is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sport Boys has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sport Boys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cajamarca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cajamarca: Timana H. (Red Card)

There will not play in Sport Boys: Da Campo N. (Red Card) Solis L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cajamarca: Gallardo J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sport Boys: Dulanto G. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Boys	10	5	3	2	14:7	7	18
13	FC Cajamarca	11	3	2	6	18:24	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
25.04.26	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Cusco - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	Cajamarca - Los Chankas	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Cienciano - Cajamarca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Sport Boys Association
Peruvian Liga 1
25.04.26	Sport Boys - Juan Pablo II College	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Sport Boys	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Sport Boys - FBC Melgar	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Boys	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Sport Boys - Sport Huancayo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLLW

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