The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cajamarca 34.1%
Draw 27.8%
Sporting Cristal 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.2%
27.8%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
26.6%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cajamarca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Cajamarca (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Aspajo S. (G) 44. Gomez C. 14. Rodas A. 22. Almiron M. 13. Lagos R. 18. Orejuela J. G. 31. Enciso S. 17. Palacios B. 11. Arrasco M. 20. Meza C. 9. Barcos H. (C)
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 96. Abram L. 90. Cristiano 18. Gonzalez J. 55. Cazonatti G. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 23. Castro M. 11. Avila I. 16. Iberico L.
Substitutes
27. Betancourt J. 1. Mosquera C. (G) 8. Moyano A. 29. Ocas F. 25. Paucar E. 19. Peralta S. 7. Pineau S. 4. Rosell Delgado J. A. 30. Vega J. C.
33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 21. Cabellos C. 32. Diaz L. 27. Gabriel 28. Otoya D. 97. Rodriguez M. 25. Tavara M. 26. Wisdom I.
Coaches
Ayala Gavilan C. R.
Ze Ricardo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Yotun Y. ⚽, Abram L. (A),
25', Palacios B. 🟨,
35', Iberico L. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Meza C. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
59', Lagos R. 🟨,
60', Abram L. 🟨,
61', Gonzalez J. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Barcos H. ⚽, Enciso S. (A),
72', Araujo M. 🟨,
75', Cazonatti G. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
76', Avila I. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
76', Yotun Y. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Betancourt J. ⚽, Barcos H. (A),
81', Betancourt J. 🟨,
82', Arrasco M. 🟨,
89', Palacios B. ↓, Pineau S. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
90+2', Arrasco M. ↓, Moyano A. ↑,
90+5', Moyano A. 🟨,
90+6', Enciso S. ↓, Ocas F. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 1, Pineau S. ⚽, Lagos R. (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 12).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C.
(Knee Injury)
Lutiger R.
(Yellow Cards)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cajamarca: Gallardo J.
(Injury)
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Peru
Usa
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Aspajo S. (G) 
Gomez C. 
Rodas A. 
Almiron M. 
Orejuela J. G. 
Barcos H. (C) 
Cristiano 
Mosquera C. (G) 
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