Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cienciano		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.37	4.4	6.25
	1.4	4.55	7.1	Watch
	1.41	4.8	6.51
	1.4	4.93	6.75	Watch
	1.4	4.5	6.5
	1.4	4.7	6.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)	4.66 ↓ (4.77)	6.49 ↓ (8.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cienciano
65.9%

Draw
19.8%

Cajamarca
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

19.5%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.1%

18.3%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cienciano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cienciano - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 13. Nunez C. 4. Amondarain M. 3. Becerra K. 7. Souza Espana C. 39. Caparo H. 29. Robles A. 16. Martinich M. 10. Hohberg A. 21. Garces C. (C) 11. Bandiera N.	1. Mosquera C. (G) 44. Gomez C. 14. Rodas A. 22. Almiron M. 13. Lagos R. 6. Miguez P. 25. Paucar E. 11. Arrasco M. 10. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 17. Palacios B. 9. Barcos H. (C)
Substitutes
26. Aguilar R. 8. Aguirre G. 88. Barreto G. 14. Cavero S. 1. Falcon G. (G) 37. Rojas A. 17. Sandoval R. 19. Succar M. 27. Yovera A.	32. Alegria P. 23. Andrade T. 12. Aspajo S. (G) 5. Bernaola B. 27. Betancourt J. 20. Meza C. 19. Peralta S. 26. Timana H. 30. Vega J. C.
Coaches
Melgarejo H.	Silvestri C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Garces C. ⚽,
10', Lagos R. 🟥,
20', 2 - 0, Garces C. ⚽, Souza Espana C. (A),
32', Arrasco M. ↓, Andrade T. ↑,
41', 3 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Paucar E. ↓, Meza C. ↑,
46', Miguez P. ↓, Timana H. ↑,
46', Almiron M. ↓, Bernaola B. ↑,
46', Robles A. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
46', Bandiera N. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
46', Nunez C. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
60', Souza Espana C. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
61', Garces C. ↓, Cavero S. ↑,
83', Palacios B. ↓, Alegria P. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 16).

Cienciano is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cajamarca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cienciano is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J. (Broken calfbone)

There will not play in Cajamarca: Medina J. (Broken Hand) Orejuela J. G. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cajamarca: Gallardo J. (Injury)

We predict that Cienciano will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Cienciano	11	3	2	6	14:18	-4	11
13	FC Cajamarca	11	3	2	6	18:24	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
15.03.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Cienciano - Sport Boys	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	2:1 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
27.02.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Cienciano - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWWT
- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
13.03.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	3:4 ✺
06.03.26	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cajamarca - FBC Melgar	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sport Huancayo - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWL

Cienciano - Cajamarca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide