Match Info

Cymru South - Round 15

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Cambrian United

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.7	1.82
	3.55	3.78	1.85
	3.59	3.96	1.84	Watch
	3.44	3.85	1.93
	3.5	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)	3.78 ↓ (3.96)	1.85 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
26.2%

Draw
24.3%

Cambrian United
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

23.5%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

22.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Aberystwyth Town - Cambrian United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Woodford J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Reid R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+14', Thomas F. 🟨,
90+14', 1 - 2, Bateman C. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

In recent matches, Aberystwyth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cambrian United is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cambrian United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Cambrian United could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aberystwyth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
22.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Ynyshir Albions	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Aberystwyth Town - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Newport City	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.25	Aberystwyth Town - Barry Town United	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL
- Cambrian United
Welsh FA Cup
21.11.25	Cambrian United - Pen-y-Bont	1:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
14.11.25	Cambrian United - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Caerau Ely - Cambrian United	2:3 ✺
Welsh League Cup
04.11.25	Cambrian United - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
01.11.25	Cambrian United - Cardiff Draconians	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
25.09.18	Cambrian United - Aberystwyth Town	3:1

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