The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitesse 30.4%
Draw 24.7%
Cambuur 44.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.9%
23.1%
53%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.5%
22.7%
54%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitesse's performance.
Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cambuur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitesse that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cambuur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
12.5%
25%
Vitesse - Cambuur Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Cambuur will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Brull M. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 55. Steffen M. 17. Zumberi V. 28. Buttner A. (C) 6. Schikora M. 33. Marschalk M. 27. Zonneveld N. 21. Schwarz R. 7. Hoogewerf D. 9. Huth E.
1. Jansen T. (G) 25. Marsman B. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 46. Nap J. 7. Balk R. 10. Diemers M. (C) 26. Ferrah I. 18. Rolke T. 11. Sjostrand O.
Substitutes
35. Achouitar O. 5. Bakker J. 20. Bannis N. 30. Driezen M. 24. Markelo N. 8. Moustafa A. 34. Ouallil Y. 11. Ranon Y. 23. Siecker J. (G) 19. Tahaui A. 22. Thenu X. 16. van den Berg C. (G)
3. Berkhout J. 13. Binder N. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 31. Kalisvaart M. 27. Kooistra W. 21. Meijster J. (G) 8. Souren N. 14. van der Sande J. 30. van der Veen Y. 9. Visser K.
Coaches
Rehm R.
de Jong H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
21', 0 - 1, Balk R. ⚽,
42', Marsman B. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
43', 0 - 2, Diemers M. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 3, Balk R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zonneveld N. ↓, Tahaui A. ↑,
46', Galvez T. ↓, Jonker T. ↑,
49', Schwarz R. 🟨,
61', Buttner A. 🟨,
66', Schwarz R. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
67', Huth E. ↓, Bannis N. ↑,
68', Nap J. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
70', Steffen M. 🟨,
79', 0 - 4, Rolke T. ⚽, Sjostrand O. (A),
81', Sjostrand O. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
81', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
84', Buttner A. ↓, Markelo N. ↑,
88', Diemers M. 🟨,
90+1', Hoogewerf D. 🟨,
90+3', Amofa J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Vitesse has had a series of away games.
Cambuur could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 2.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitesse won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Vitesse - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 23.9%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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Brull M. (G) 
Bonnah S. 
Zumberi V. 
Baouf I. 
Galvez T. 
Ferrah I. 
Sjostrand O. 
Markelo N. 
Ranon Y. 
Binder N. 
van der Sande J. 
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