The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambuur 30.8%
Draw 29.8%
Sparta Rotterdam 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.4%
26.4%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
25.5%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambuur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Rotterdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
22.7%
68.2%
Cambuur - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 48.7% – 87.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs)).
Cambuur has the most likely position - 18 (41.23%), has project points - 26, has currently - 9, has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sparta Rotterdam has the most likely position - 6 (23.44%), has project points - 52, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality43, small importance23, match rating33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 2.
Cambuur is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sparta Rotterdam is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Cambuur: Gullit M.
(Knee Injury)
Mahi M.
(Injury)
Ter Heide J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Coremans T.
(Injury)
de Guzman J.
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Cambuur: van der Water S.
(Illness)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Cambuur won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-11.
Netherlands
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