Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Sergio León Chavez (Irapuato)

Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Irapuato		Cancún

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.4	3.7
	2.05	3.35	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.55
	2.11	3.56	3.23	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.8
	1.96	3.36	3.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.83)	3.42 ↑ (3.42)	3.5 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irapuato
46.6%

Draw
27%

Cancún
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.9%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

25.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Irapuato - Cancún Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cancún will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Hernandez H. (C) 8. Cruz C. 5. Elbis 28. Gamboa J. 27. Martinez G. 31. Pena R. 10. Rangel J. 24. Rodriguez A. 25. Sanchez B. 16. Sandoval R. 9. Vasquez Velasquez L. S.	1. Andrade C. (G) 5. Chavez A. 7. El-mesmari B. 15. Guillen D. 3. Hernandez J. 18. Montiel S. 19. Preciado G. 4. Reyes R. 12. Rodriguez J. 11. Trejo C. 10. Uscanga P. (C)
Substitutes
3. Alvarado V. 35. Cabanas A. (G) 6. del Angel E. 2. Doldan J. 33. Gonzalez R. 29. Gutierrez L. 11. Partida E. 34. Ruiz J. 36. Salazar J. 26. Santillan E.	26. Arce E. (G) 21. Barraza L. 14. Campos K. 147. Lomeli D. 32. Lopez L. 8. Melendre F. 6. Ochoa I. 17. Padilla E. 22. Soria E. 9. Villatoro M.
Coaches
Alcantar D.	Bravo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Trejo C. ⚽, El-mesmari B. (A),
45+2', Montiel S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Preciado G. ↓, Melendre F. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ⚽, Cruz C. (A),
58', Uscanga P. ↓, Ochoa I. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Salazar J. ⚽,
62', Sanchez B. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
67', Chavez A. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
67', El-mesmari B. ↓, Padilla E. ↑,
67', Montiel S. ↓, Barraza L. ↑,
75', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↓, Doldan J. ↑,
75', Rangel J. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
84', Padilla E. 🟥,
86', Cruz C. ↓, Alvarado V. ↑,
86', Gamboa J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
87', Elbis 🟨,
90+1', Doldan J. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 2, Melendre F. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Irapuato is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cancun	11	5	2	4	19:15	4	17

Last Results with these Odds

Irapuato - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.03.26	Correcaminos UAT - Irapuato	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Irapuato - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	6:2 ✺
25.02.26	Irapuato - Atlante	0:5 ✺
20.02.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Irapuato	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Irapuato - Dorados	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW
- Cancún FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
14.03.26	Cancún - Atlético La Paz	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Tapatío - Cancún	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Cancún - Jaiba Brava	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Cancún - Mineros de Zacatecas	4:1 ✺
10.02.26	Venados - Cancún	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
10.10.25	Cancún - Irapuato	0:0

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