The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 40.3%
Draw 21.5%
Arsenal U21 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
23.9%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
23.2%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff City's form might have worsened.
Arsenal U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal U21 than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
4.8%
4.8%
90.5%
Cardiff City - Arsenal U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Arsenal U21 will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal U21: 75.7% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Arsenal U21 (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Cardiff (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal U21 will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Arsenal U21 (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Turner M. (G) 57. Kingdon J. (C) 50. Keita G. 60. Debono A. 56. Spiers W. 52. Perrett T. 59. Apter M. 61. Twose C. 58. Parfitt T. 62. George T. 64. Ola D.
51. Rojas A. (G) 85. King J. 77. Onyekachukwu S. 54. Lannin-Sweet W. 55. Washington M. 72. Ibrahim I. 38. Copley L. (C) 39. Dudziak H. 53. Sagoe Jr C. 71. Harriman-Annous A. 45. Kamara O.
Substitutes
63. Davies I. 53. Dennis J. (G) 68. Hilaire-Clarke R. 65. Hobson J. 66. Pearce L. 69. Sykes J. 67. Watts H.
81. Bailey-Joseph B. 73. Julienne T. 47. Mitchell R. (G) 48. Nichols J. 75. Ogunnaike J. 87. Owusu-Gyasi A. 57. Stevens A.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.
Porter M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Washington M. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
17', Twose C. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Perrett T. ⚽, Ola D. (A),
39', Copley L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ola D. ↓, Pearce L. ↑,
50', Debono A. 🟨,
55', Parfitt T. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
58', Davies I. 🟨,
59', Rojas A. 🟥,
61', Dudziak H. ↓, Mitchell R. ↑,
62', Kamara O. ↓, Bailey-Joseph B. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Spiers W. ⚽, Twose C. (A),
72', Washington M. ↓, Ogunnaike J. ↑,
72', Ibrahim I. ↓, Julienne T. ↑,
79', Pearce L. ↓, Sykes J. ↑,
86', Onyekachukwu S. ↓, Stevens A. ↑,
87', Perrett T. ↓, Watts H. ↑,
90+2', Lannin-Sweet W. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 1, George T. ⚽,
Preview
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Arsenal U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
United-kingdom
Watch
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Turner M. (G) 
Kingdon J. (C) 
Keita G. 
Rojas A. (G) 
Kamara O. 
Pearce L. 
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