Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 25

Date: 29 December 2023, Friday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)


	Cardiff City		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.57
	5.5	4	1.6
	5.87	4.13	1.56	Watch
	6.2	4.16	1.6
	6.2	4.16	1.59
	5.5	3.7	1.57
	5.8	4.1	1.57	Watch
	5.6	4.1	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.83 ↑ (4.54)	4.04 ↑ (3.74)	1.58 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
16.3%

Draw
23.5%

Leicester City
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

25.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

25.2%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leicester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	8.8%	73.5%

Cardiff City - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). Leicester will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 58.7% – 88.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (G) 38. Ng P. 4. Goutas D. 5. McGuinness M. 17. Collins J. 6. Wintle R. 23. Siopis M. 8. Ralls J. (C) 14. Bowler J. 9. Etete K. 16. Grant K.	30. Hermansen M. (G) 17. Choudhury H. (C) 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 2. Justin J. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 8. Winks H. 25. Ndidi W. 18. Fatawu I. 20. Daka P. 10. Mavididi S.
Substitutes
18. Adams E. 27. Colwill R. 22. Meite Y. 24. Panzo J. 35. Rinomhota A. 47. Robinson C. 2. Romeo M. 32. Tanner O. 41. Turner M. (G)	29. Akgun Y. 28. Cannon T. 7. Casadei C. 4. Coady C. 5. Doyle C. 40. Marcal-Madivadua W. 21. Pereira R. 15. Souttar H. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G)
Coaches
Bulut E.	Maresca E.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.

Recent matches Cardiff is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leicester is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Leicester is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
26.12.23	Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle	2:2 ✺
23.12.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Hull City - Cardiff City	3:0 ✺
13.12.23	Cardiff City - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
09.12.23	Cardiff City - Millwall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLLW
- Leicester City
English League Championship
26.12.23	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Leicester City - Rotherham United	3:0 ✺
18.12.23	Birmingham City - Leicester City	2:3 ✺
13.12.23	Leicester City - Millwall	3:2 ✺
09.12.23	Leicester City - Plymouth Argyle	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
19.08.23	Leicester City - Cardiff City	2:1
English Premier League
29.12.18	Leicester City - Cardiff City	0:1
03.11.18	Cardiff City - Leicester City	0:1
English League Championship
12.03.13	Cardiff City - Leicester City	1:1
22.12.12	Leicester City - Cardiff City	0:1
11.02.12	Leicester City - Cardiff City	2:1

Upcoming Matches