Match Info

Championship - Round 45

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: King Power Stadium (Leicester)

Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leicester City		Millwall

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.71	Watch
	4.28	3.96	1.77
	4.37	4.15	1.79
	4.19	3.95	1.78	Watch
	4	3.6	1.73
	4.22	3.82	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (2.38)	3.9 ↑ (3.35)	1.76 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester City
22.3%

Draw
24.1%

Millwall
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.6%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.2%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leicester City's form might have worsened.

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millwall's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leicester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millwall, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.5%	7.5%	85%

Leicester City - Millwall Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). Millwall will win (votes: 33 - 86.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 76% – 97.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stolarczyk J. (G) 17. Choudhury H. (C) 15. Souttar H. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 22. Skipp O. 8. Winks H. 7. Fatawu I. 29. Mukasa D. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 20. Daka P.	13. Patterson A. (G) 18. Leonard R. 4. Crama T. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 24. De Norre C. 11. Azeez F. 10. Neghli C. 7. Ballo T. 19. Coburn J.
Substitutes
56. Aluko O. 9. Ayew J. 31. Begovic A. (G) 6. James J. 10. Mavididi S. 28. Monga J. 25. Page L. 21. Pereira R. 30. Ramsey A.	67. Bannan B. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 25. Cundle L. 9. Ivanovic M. 30. Lamptey R. 17. Langstaff M. 2. McNamara D. 39. Smallbone W. 22. Watson T.
Coaches
Rowett G.	Neil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Coburn J. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Cooper J. 🟨,
60', Azeez F. 🟨,
60', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Monga J. ↑,
60', Mukasa D. ↓, Page L. ↑,
67', Ballo T. 🟨,
72', Ballo T. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
72', Choudhury H. 🟨,
78', 1 - 0, Souttar H. ⚽, Thomas L. (A),
79', Fatawu I. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
79', Skipp O. ↓, James J. ↑,
82', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Bannan B. ↑,
82', De Norre C. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
82', Sturge Z. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Langstaff M. ⚽,
90+5', Daka P. ↓, Aluko O. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Leicester is Relegated to League One

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 3.

Leicester is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Millwall is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Millwall is the team to beat.

There will not play in Leicester: Kristiansen V. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Millwall: Bryan J. (Injury) Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Kelly D. (Hamstring Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Millwall: Doughty A. (Calf Injury) Mitchell B. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Millwall: 5.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	16:15	1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Leicester City - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.82%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Millwall - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.6%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester City
English League Championship
21.04.26	Leicester City - Hull City	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Portsmouth - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Leicester City - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Leicester City - Preston North End	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTT
- Millwall
English League Championship
21.04.26	Stoke City - Millwall	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Millwall - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	West Bromwich Albion - Millwall	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Millwall - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.10.25	Millwall - Leicester City	1:0
09.04.24	Millwall - Leicester City	1:0
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Millwall - Leicester City	2:3
English League Championship
13.12.23	Leicester City - Millwall	3:2
English League Cup
22.09.21	Millwall - Leicester City	0:2
English FA Cup
18.02.17	Millwall - Leicester City	1:0
English League Championship
01.01.14	Millwall - Leicester City	1:3

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