The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 35.1%
Draw 25.2%
Birmingham City 39.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.2%
24.8%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
25.7%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Cardiff City - Birmingham City Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 19th and 4th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4.
In recent outings, Cardiff has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Birmingham is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Cardiff: Chambers C.
(Knee Injury)
Colwill R.
(Ankle Injury)
Lawlor D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Osho G.
(Red Card).
Confirmed absences for Birmingham: Leonard M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Paik Seung-Ho
(Health problems).
Doubtful / questionable for Cardiff: Salech Y.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff has recorded 10 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:16 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cardiff against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:10 goals (averaging 1.8:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Birmingham
11
5
5
1
20:11
9
20
19
Cardiff
11
2
5
4
18:17
1
11
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Birmingham: 8.3% Cardiff: 1.28%
Last Results with these Odds
Cardiff City - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.23%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Birmingham City - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.95%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.