Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 44

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)


	Carlisle United		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.67
	5	3.75	1.65
	5	3.75	1.68	Watch
	5.13	3.87	1.69
	5.12	3.77	1.72
	5	3.9	1.62
	5.04	3.78	1.68	Watch
	5.2	3.75	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↑ (4.91)	3.79 ↓ (3.98)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
18.5%

Draw
24.9%

Blackpool
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

23.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

22.2%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Carlisle United - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Blackpool will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Lewis H. (G) 18. Ellis J. 5. Lavelle S. 6. Huntington P. (C) 26. Barclay B. 3. Armer J. 19. Robinson J. 33. Neal H. 22. Mellish J. 35. Armstrong L. 9. Kelly G.	32. Grimshaw D. (G) 5. Pennington M. 21. Ekpiteta M. 3. Husband J. (C) 22. Hamilton C. 11. Dembele K. 7. Byers G. 10. Carey S. 15. Coulson H. 18. Beesley J. 19. Lavery S.
Substitutes
13. Breeze G. (G) 27. Diamond J. 37. Dudik A. 32. Emmanuel J. 16. Harris J. J. 28. Kayode J. 30. O'Brien J.	20. Casey O. 4. Gabriel J. 9. Joseph K. 27. Kouassi K. 8. Morgan A. 1. O'Donnell R. (G) 17. Virtue-Thick M.
Coaches
Simpson P.	Critchley N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Dembele K. ⚽, Lavery S. (A),
16', Robinson J. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
35', Byers G. ↓, Morgan A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Ellis J. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
66', Hamilton C. ↓, Gabriel J. ↑,
66', Lavery S. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
67', Armstrong L. ↓, Kayode J. ↑,
83', Harris J. J. 🟨,
84', Dembele K. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
84', Beesley J. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).

Carlisle is Relegated to League Two

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Blackpool is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English League One
09.04.24	Cheltenham Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Northampton Town - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Carlisle United - Lincoln City	1:3 ✺
29.03.24	Peterborough United - Carlisle United	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 WLLWT
- Blackpool
English League One
09.04.24	Blackpool - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Blackpool - Cambridge United	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Blackpool - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Derby County - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Wigan Athletic - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.12.23	Blackpool - Carlisle United	3:0
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Carlisle United - Blackpool	0:1
English EFL Trophy
15.10.19	Carlisle United - Blackpool	2:1
English League Two
11.02.17	Carlisle United - Blackpool	1:4
17.09.16	Blackpool - Carlisle United	2:2

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