The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 48.8%
Draw 26.8%
Carlisle United 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
27.3%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
26.2%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
22.2%
0%
Northampton Town - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burge L. (G) 22. Odimayo A. 5. Guthrie J. (C) 6. Sherring S. 3. McGowan A. 8. Fox B. 21. Leonard M. 11. Pinnock M. 19. Bowie K. 9. Appere L. 7. Hoskins S.
40. Lewis H. (G) 18. Ellis J. 26. Barclay B. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 22. Mellish J. 3. Armer J. 11. Butterworth D. 33. Neal H. 19. Robinson J. 35. Armstrong L. 9. Kelly G.
Substitutes
14. Koiki A. 17. McWilliams S. 31. Moulden L. (G) 16. Simpson T. 4. Sowerby J. 28. Springett T. 15. Willis J.
2. Back F. 13. Breeze G. (G) 27. Diamond J. 32. Emmanuel J. 16. Harris J. J. 6. Huntington P. 24. Maguire S.
Coaches
Brady J.
Simpson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Bowie K. ⚽, Sherring S. (A),
34', Butterworth D. ↓, Maguire S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Odimayo A. ↓, Koiki A. ↑,
57', Kelly G. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
72', Fox B. ↓, McWilliams S. ↑,
73', Hoskins S. ↓, Sowerby J. ↑,
79', Appere L. ↓, Springett T. ↑,
79', McGowan A. ↓, Willis J. ↑,
83', Robinson J. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
83', Ellis J. ↓, Emmanuel J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Koiki A. ⚽,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.
Recent matches Northampton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Carlisle is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Northampton will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Northampton won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.
Watch
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Burge L. (G) 
Leonard M. 
Kelly G. 
Brady J. 
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