The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County 52%
Draw 27%
Blackpool 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
25.9%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
25%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
94.1%
5.9%
0%
Derby County - Blackpool Predictions
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wildsmith J. (G) 23. Ward J. 35. Nelson C. 6. Cashin E. 17. Sibley L. 2. Wilson K. 32. Adams E. 12. Smith K. 27. Blackett-Taylor C. 11. Mendez-Laing N. (C) 14. Washington C.
32. Grimshaw D. (G) 5. Pennington M. 21. Ekpiteta M. 20. Casey O. 4. Gabriel J. 7. Byers G. 6. Norburn O. (C) 10. Carey S. 15. Coulson H. 11. Dembele K. 18. Beesley J.
Substitutes
9. Collins J. 22. Fornah T. 4. Hourihane C. 13. Loach S. (G) 49. Robinson D. 16. Thompson L. 10. Waghorn M.
2. Connolly C. 22. Hamilton C. 9. Joseph K. 27. Kouassi K. 19. Lavery S. 1. O'Donnell R. (G) 17. Virtue-Thick M.
Coaches
Warne P.
Critchley N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Dembele K. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Adams E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Coulson H. 🟨,
64', Norburn O. 🟨,
70', Washington C. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
70', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
71', Gabriel J. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
72', Beesley J. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
72', Dembele K. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
79', Norburn O. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
83', Smith K. ↓, Hourihane C. ↑,
83', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Fornah T. ↑,
90+4', Sibley L. 🟨,
90+5', Ward J. ↓, Waghorn M. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 4.
Derby is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Blackpool is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Derby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Blackpool have a series of guest games.
In this match Derby is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Derby won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-4.
Watch
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Wildsmith J. (G) 
Cashin E. 
Adams E. 
Mendez-Laing N. (C) 
Washington C. 
Byers G. 
Norburn O. (C) 
Fornah T. 
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