The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Notts County 59.7%
Draw 22.2%
Carlisle United 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
23.7%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
22.5%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Notts County - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bass A. (G) 3. McDonald R. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. 10. Jones J. 33. Abbott G. 6. Hinchy J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 11. Grant C. 17. McGoldrick D. (C) 29. Jatta A.
13. Breeze G. (G) 6. Hayden A. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 22. McArthur C. 24. Williams J. 45. Fusire S. 43. Whelan C. 11. Jones J. 44. Embleton E. 20. Scott C. 17. Hugill J.
Substitutes
24. Cundy R. 22. Edwards C. 2. Gordon K. 36. Jarvis W. 27. Johnson Z. 21. Slocombe S. (G) 16. Whitaker C.
18. Ellis J. 3. Harper C. 40. Harris K. 1. Lewis H. (G) 42. Patching W. 7. Robson E. 4. Thomas T.
Coaches
Maynard S.
Williamson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', McDonald R. 🟨,
15', Fusire S. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Jatta A. ⚽, Abbott G. (A),
45+2', Hayden A. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Scott C. ↓, Harris K. ↑,
64', Fusire S. ↓, Patching W. ↑,
72', Grant C. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
72', McDonald R. ↓, Johnson Z. ↑,
73', Jones J. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
76', McArthur C. 🟨,
81', Embleton E. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
86', McGoldrick D. 🟨,
90+2', Jatta A. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 3.
Notts County is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Carlisle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Notts County is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Notts County won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:19 (average 1.6:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.4:1.6).