The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grimsby Town 42%
Draw 28%
Carlisle United 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
27%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
22.3%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Grimsby Town - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wright J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 24. Tharme D. 17. McJannett C. 11. Svanthorsson J. 20. McEachran G. 30. Khouri E. 33. Hume D. 4. Green K. (C) 32. Rose D. 9. Obikwu J.
13. Breeze G. (G) 5. Lavelle S. (C) 4. Thomas T. 22. McArthur C. 24. Williams J. 42. Patching W. 43. Whelan C. 39. Wearne S. 40. Harris K. 44. Embleton E. 17. Hugill J.
Substitutes
41. Auton S. (G) 14. Barrington L. 18. Burns D. 8. Luker J. 6. Thompson C. 10. Vernam C. 21. Warren T.
26. Barclay B. 37. Bevan J. 45. Fusire S. 3. Harper C. 1. Lewis H. (G) 7. Robson E. 20. Scott C.
Coaches
Artell D.
Hughes M
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Lavelle S. ⚽, Embleton E. (A),
44', Hugill J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Lavelle S. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Obikwu J. ⚽, Khouri E. (A),
63', Wearne S. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
64', Patching W. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
71', Khouri E. 🟨,
75', Embleton E. 🟨,
77', Embleton E. ↓, Scott C. ↑,
79', McJannett C. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
82', Robson E. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Rose D. (Pen),
84', Obikwu J. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
87', Green K. ↓, Thompson C. ↑,
88', Khouri E. ↓, Barrington L. ↑,
90+2', Lavelle S. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
90+4', Thomas T. 🟨,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
Recent matches Grimsby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Carlisle is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Grimsby will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).