Match Info

National League - Round 26

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Carlisle United		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	7.5
	1.36	4.85	7.1
	1.36	4.93	7.58	Watch
	1.36	4.6	6.5
	1.39	4.58	7.63
	1.32	5.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.52)	4.8 ↑ (4.09)	7.39 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
68.2%

Draw
19.3%

Wealdstone
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.7%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

22.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlisle United's performance.

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlisle United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wealdstone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Carlisle United - Wealdstone Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carlisle United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 22. Williams J. 5. Feeney M. (C) 6. Hayden A. 18. Ellis J. 20. Gilliead A. 37. Macadam H. 8. Whelan C. 3. Harper C. 10. Linney R. 29. Armstrong L.	1. Baptiste D. (G) 7. Boldewijn E. 2. Cook J. (C) 5. Woodman D. 22. McAvoy C. 29. Tiensia J. 17. Hutchinson D. 23. Agyemang T. 4. Mussa O. 14. Obiero M. 20. Tshikuna N.
Substitutes
7. Ajiboye D. 14. Embleton E. 19. Hetherington S. 9. Kelly G. 25. Lewis H. (G) 26. Mugabi B. 15. Murray S.	16. Diarra M. 11. Hassan S. 13. Johnson E. (G) 8. Kadji D. 19. Nkrumah D. 9. Olomola O. 32. Turner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Armstrong L. ⚽,
37', Williams J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Hayden A. ⚽,
70', Hutchinson D. ↓, Hassan S. ↑,
72', Whelan C. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
80', Ellis J. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
80', Obiero M. ↓, Olomola O. ↑,
81', Mussa O. ↓, Turner S. ↑,
87', Linney R. 🟨,
90', Linney R. ↓, Ajiboye D. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Recent performances by Carlisle have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wealdstone's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Carlisle is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carlisle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Carlisle	15	6	5	4	28:21	7	23
19	Wealdstone	15	4	3	8	20:27	-7	15

Outrights of English National League for now

Carlisle: 2.48% Wealdstone: 0.72%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
30.12.25	Carlisle United - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Gateshead - Carlisle United	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Boreham Wood - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Harborough Town - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
English National League
10.12.25	Carlisle United - Woking	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWL
- Wealdstone
English National League
30.12.25	Aldershot Town - Wealdstone	4:1 ✺
26.12.25	Wealdstone - Boreham Wood	0:4 ✺
21.12.25	Halifax Town - Wealdstone	2:2 ✺
16.12.25	Truro City - Wealdstone	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Wealdstone - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.08.25	Wealdstone - Carlisle United	0:1

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