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Current Win Probability
Carlos A. Mannucci 42.8%
Draw 25.3%
Cusco 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
26.7%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
27.3%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos A. Mannucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlos A. Mannucci's performance.
Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cusco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos A. Mannucci that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cusco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
9.1%
27.3%
Carlos A. Mannucci - Cusco Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Mannucci will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Cusco will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Mannucci: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Heredia M. (G) 27. Rabanal E. 24. Rizzo G. 21. Vidales J. 13. Llontop M. 10. Albarracin N. 11. Cortes J. 6. Viera G. 88. Quina N. 22. Urruti L. 17. Liza P.
13. Vidal A. (G) 23. Ramirez R. 30. Guzman P. 6. Perez A. 14. Zevallos J. 5. Aucca M. 16. Valenzuela O. 26. Silva N. 10. Colman I. 22. Colitto L. 9. Ramos L.
Substitutes
1. Barbieri J. (G) 18. Barriga F. 36. Chicoma A. 14. Cortave M. 5. Gaona M. 34. Montalva A. 4. Saba E. 32. Salazar V. 39. Urtecho E.
2. Bilbao J. 17. Cardenas P. 24. Olaya S. 3. Schmidt F. 33. Solis C. (G) 19. Tamariz A. 11. Tevez J. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Paredes S.
Rondelli M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Albarracin N. (Pen),
16', 2 - 0, Urruti L. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Ramos L. ⚽, Aucca M. (A),
36', Colman I. 🟨,
45+3', Valenzuela O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 3 - 1, Urruti L. ⚽, Albarracin N. (A),
56', 4 - 1, Cortes J. ⚽, Heredia M. (A),
56', Cortes J. 🟨,
59', Guzman P. ↓, Cardenas P. ↑,
59', Aucca M. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
65', Liza P. ↓, Gaona M. ↑,
79', Rabanal E. ↓, Cortave M. ↑,
83', Vidales J. ↓, Saba E. ↑,
83', Albarracin N. ↓, Chicoma A. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 4).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 1.
Mannucci has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Cusco in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Mannucci will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 0.9:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Mannucci won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).
Peru
South-america
Venezuela
World
Watch
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Heredia M. (G) 
Rizzo G. 
Cortes J. 
Viera G. 
Ramirez R. 
Perez A. 
Cardenas P. 
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