Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 38

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday


	Carshalton Athletic		Bishops Stortford

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.85
	3.4	3.3	1.85
	3.76	3.41	1.95
	3.7	3.45	1.9
	3.75	3.4	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.4)	3.41 ↓ (3.6)	1.88 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
25.2%

Draw
26.6%

Bishops Stortford
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carshalton Athletic's form might have worsened.

Bishops Stortford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bishops Stortford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carshalton Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bishops Stortford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carshalton Athletic - Bishops Stortford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bishop's Stortford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Carshalton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.03.23	Billericay Town - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Carshalton Athletic - Herne Bay	1:3 ✺
11.03.23	Corinthian-Casuals - Carshalton Athletic	1:4 ✺
04.03.23	Aveley - Carshalton Athletic	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Carshalton Athletic - Hastings United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWTW
- Bishops Stortford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.03.23	Bishops Stortford - Bognor Regis Town	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Wingate & Finchley - Bishops Stortford	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Bishops Stortford - Hastings United	2:3 ✺
07.03.23	Bishops Stortford - Canvey Island	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Folkestone Invicta - Bishops Stortford	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.10.22	Bishops Stortford - Carshalton Athletic	2:0
04.12.21	Bishops Stortford - Carshalton Athletic	1:1
28.08.21	Carshalton Athletic - Bishops Stortford	2:0
17.08.19	Carshalton Athletic - Bishops Stortford	4:2
27.04.19	Carshalton Athletic - Bishops Stortford	2:1
22.09.18	Bishops Stortford - Carshalton Athletic	3:1

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