Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 36

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Carshalton Athletic		Herne Bay

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	4.8
	1.54	4.32	4.39
	1.44	4	5.8
	1.54	4.15	5.1
	1.53	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	4.13 ↑ (4)	4.97 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
59.9%

Draw
21.9%

Herne Bay
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.6%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.2%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Herne Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carshalton Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herne Bay than the current prediction. (-4%)

Carshalton Athletic - Herne Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Carshalton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Herne Bay is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Herne Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Carshalton have a series of guest games.

In this match Carshalton is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.03.23	Corinthian-Casuals - Carshalton Athletic	1:4 ✺
04.03.23	Aveley - Carshalton Athletic	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Carshalton Athletic - Hastings United	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWLW
- Herne Bay FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.03.23	Herne Bay - Haringey Borough	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Herne Bay - Bognor Regis Town	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Herne Bay - Horsham	3:0 ✺
04.03.23	Billericay Town - Herne Bay	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Bishops Stortford - Herne Bay	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.11.22	Herne Bay - Carshalton Athletic	2:3

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