Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 38

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Castellón		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.78	3.4	3.7
	1.9	3.5	3.75
	1.91	3.5	4.2
	1.92	3.28	4.2
	2.04	3.34	3.46
	1.82	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.41)	3.36 ↓ (3.75)	3.9 ↓ (7.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
49%

Draw
27.4%

Atlético Sanluqueño
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

24.1%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

23.5%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellón's form might have worsened.

Atlético Sanluqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Sanluqueño's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Sanluqueño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Castellón - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Schwake B. (G) 16. Sanchez M. 5. Jimenez A. 33. Vertrouwd J. 20. Iosifov N. 29. Punzano I. 14. Gil O. 3. Lottin A. 10. Sanchez R. 9. de Miguel J. 6. Veldwijk L.	1. Perez S. (G) 23. Coke 4. Cortijo A. 20. Roman F. 5. Rojas J. 8. Carbonell P. 14. Vacaz L. 22. Gonzalez J. 16. Garcia Perez J. L. 19. Mwepu F. 2. Ghailan Z.
Substitutes
26. Albert J. 11. Aurelio D. 13. Carney J. (G) 12. Chirino D. 8. Gracia J. 2. Granero B. 21. Kastaneer G. 4. Medunjanin H. 27. Minana S. 22. Suero I. 15. Traore M. 19. Villahermosa D.	15. Bastida A. 9. Cabrera A. 6. Calderon M. 3. Diaz V. 10. Escardo A. 13. Flere J. (G) 30. Gonzalez Macho J. 18. Guti A. 24. Lugo P. (G) 7. Ramon N. 21. Rodriguez A. 12. Sanchez A. 11. Talaveron D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Schwake B. 🟥,
43', Jimenez A. ↓, Carney J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Veldwijk L. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
57', de Miguel J. ↓, Aurelio D. ↑,
65', Ghailan Z. ↓, Guti A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Mwepu F. ⚽,
71', Punzano I. ↓, Minana S. ↑,
71', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Albert J. ↑,
75', Guti A. 🟨,
83', Garcia Perez J. L. ↓, Ramon N. ↑,
83', Mwepu F. ↓, Talaveron D. ↑,
83', 🟨,
88', Carbonell P. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', Coke ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 15).

Castellón is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2

Castellón is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atlético Sanluqueño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castellón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Castellón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.05.24	Algeciras - Castellón	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Castellón - Ibiza	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Real Murcia - Castellón	2:3 ✺
28.04.24	Castellón - Melilla	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Linares Deportivo - Castellón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWWW
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.05.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
11.05.24	Córdoba - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0 ✺
04.05.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Mérida AD - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Castellón	0:2
26.01.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - Castellón	0:1
17.09.21	Castellón - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:1

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