Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 22

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 6
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Orange Futbol 2
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Castellón		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.05	5.3	Watch
	1.54	4.33	5.83	Watch
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.57	4.27	5.81	Watch
	1.52	4.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.84)	4.2 ↑ (3.51)	5.62 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castellón
61%

Draw
22.3%

Leganés
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.6%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leganés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Castellón - Leganés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Castellón (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Leganés (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Castellón will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Castellón will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Leganés (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 3. Brignani F. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 12. Alcazar L. 7. Mabil A. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 8. Barri 18. Santiago P. 9. Camara O. 21. Calatrava A.	1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. (C) 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 2. Marvel 15. Franquesa E. 14. Lopez R. 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 10. Cruz J. 23. Millan A. 17. Garcia N.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 16. Cipenga B. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 19. Jakobsen A. 23. Mamah K. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 4. Sienra A. 10. Suero I. 26. Tincho 55. Willman M.	21. Campos A. 32. Fernandez S. 19. Garcia D. 31. Garrido J. (G) 26. Guirao C. 36. Leiva M. 16. Melero G. 5. Miquel I. 18. Pauwels B. 20. Plano O. 3. Saenz J. 13. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Hernandez P.	Oca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Mabil A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Santiago P. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
65', Jimenez A. 🟨,
68', Camara O. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
68', Mabil A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
68', Lopez R. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
68', Garcia N. ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
73', Barri 🟨,
74', Millan A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
74', Cisse S. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
81', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,
84', Plano O. 🟨,
88', 2 - 0, Suero I. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Franquesa E. ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
90', Calatrava A. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
90', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

Castellón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Leganés has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Castellón is the team to beat.

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Duk (Injury) Figueredo S. (Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Castellon: 14.88% Leganes: 2.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Castellon	8	6	2	0	15:3	12	20
14	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.26	Granada - Castellón	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Castellón - Huesca	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Cádiz - Castellón	2:0 ✺
15.12.25	Castellón - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWW
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.26	Leganés - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Leganés	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Racing Santander - Leganés	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Leganés - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.09.25	Leganés - Castellón	0:1
06.03.21	Leganés - Castellón	0:0
04.10.20	Castellón - Leganés	2:0

Upcoming Matches