Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 28

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 6, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Max
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Castellón		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.2
	1.6	4.05	4.75	Watch
	1.64	4.19	5.52
	1.6	4.28	5.17	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5
	1.65	4.22	4.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.66)	4.08 ↓ (4.25)	4.92 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
57.9%

Draw
23%

Racing Santander
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

22.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

21.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Castellón - Racing Santander Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Racing (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Castellón (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Castellón will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 3 - 75%). Racing (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 3. Brignani F. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 15. Gerenabarrena B. 16. Cipenga B. 12. Alcazar L. 8. Barri 14. Sanchez R. 21. Calatrava A. 19. Jakobsen A.	1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 4. Manu 16. Gonzalez F. 32. Salinas J. 23. Rodriguez D. 19. Puerta G. 20. Camara S. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 7. Guliashvili G.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 56. Ferrer Alarte M. 23. Garcia A. 7. Mabil A. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 18. Santiago P. 10. Suero I. 2. Tincho 55. Willman M.	8. Aldasoro A. 5. Castro J. 44. Chino 13. Eriksson S. (G) 43. Franco S. 3. Garcia M. 14. Gueye M. 36. Martinez S. 17. Mata J. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M.
Coaches
Hernandez P.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Guliashvili G. ⚽,
31', Alcazar L. 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Mantilla A. ⚽, Guliashvili G. (A),
39', Mantilla A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
42', 0 - 3, Guliashvili G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jakobsen A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
46', Alcazar L. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
46', Barri ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
61', Camara S. 🟨,
63', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
67', Guliashvili G. ↓, Franco S. ↑,
67', Rodriguez D. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
68', Camara S. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
69', Sanchez R. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Suero I. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
86', 🟨,
88', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
90', Vicente I. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
90+4', Mellot J. 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Castellón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Racing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Camara O. (Yellow Cards) Sienra A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Inactive) Lozano M. (Knee Injury) Martin A. (Yellow Cards) Ramon P. (Hamstring Injury) Villalibre A. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Castellón will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Castellon	9	6	2	1	15:4	11	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.26	Las Palmas - Castellón	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Castellón - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Valladolid - Castellón	0:4 ✺
01.02.26	Castellón - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Zaragoza - Castellón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWT
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
22.02.26	Racing Santander - Burgos	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Granada - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.08.25	Racing Santander - Castellón	3:1
13.04.25	Racing Santander - Castellón	1:1
22.09.24	Castellón - Racing Santander	0:1

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