Match Info

Serie B - Round 27

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Catanzaro		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.3	2.57	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.7
	2.62	3.25	2.58	Watch
	2.79	3.3	2.72
	2.61	3.38	2.6	Watch
	2.63	3	2.63
	2.66	3.34	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.66)	3.25 ↑ (3.14)	2.64 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
35.7%

Draw
28.8%

Frosinone
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.8%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Catanzaro - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Frosinone will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. 27. Favasuli C. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 62. Frosinini R. 14. Liberali M. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 8. Pittarello F.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono J. 2. Cittadini G. 3. Calvani G. 5. Marchizza R. (C) 14. Calo G. 8. Koutsoupias I. 16. Cichella M. 7. Ghedjemis F. 9. Raimondo A. 17. Kvernadze G.
Substitutes
30. Alesi G. 5. Bashi E. 98. Buglio D. 77. D'Alessandro M. 2. Esteves G. 6. Fellipe Jack 39. Koffi N. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 21. Pompetti M. 32. Rispoli F. 26. Verrengia B.	19. Corrado N. 40. Fini S. 80. Fiori A. 10. Gelli F. 6. Gelli J. 92. Kone B. L. 12. Lolic E. (G) 32. Masciangelo E. 21. Oyono A. 75. Pisseri M. (G) 90. Vergani E. 28. Zilli M.
Coaches
Aquilani A.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Oyono J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Frosinini R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 2 - 0, Liberali M. ⚽, Pittarello F. (A),
50', 2 - 1, Cichella M. ⚽,
55', Kvernadze G. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
55', Raimondo A. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Fiori A. ⚽, Oyono J. (A),
68', Matias Antonini ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
68', Pontisso S. ↓, Pompetti M. ↑,
69', Fiori A. 🟨,
70', Oyono J. ↓, Oyono A. ↑,
77', Pittarello F. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
84', Liberali M. ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
84', Frosinini R. ↓, Koffi N. ↑,
89', Cittadini G. 🟨,
89', Iemmello P. 🟨,
90', Marchizza R. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
90+1', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
90+4', Oyono A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 1.

Catanzaro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Frosinone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Catanzaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Catanzaro: Cisse A. (Injury) Oudin R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K. (Injury) Cittadini G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Catanzaro: Pontisso S. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Catanzaro - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.12%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Frosinone - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.12%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
21.02.26	Virtus Entella - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Catanzaro - Mantova	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Pescara - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Catanzaro - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWL
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
20.02.26	Frosinone - Empoli	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Spezia - Frosinone	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Avellino - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
07.02.26	Frosinone - Venezia	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Virtus Entella - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.01.26	Frosinone - Catanzaro	2:0
08.02.25	Frosinone - Catanzaro	1:1
03.11.24	Catanzaro - Frosinone	0:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
19.01.14	Frosinone - Catanzaro	3:0
15.09.13	Catanzaro - Frosinone	1:0
17.03.13	Frosinone - Catanzaro	4:0

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