Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Filho A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Ceará		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.30	4.33	Watch
	1.87	3.10	4.10
	1.84	3.25	4.50	Watch
	1.93	3.31	4.75
	1.94	3.05	4.53	Watch
	1.91	3.00	4.20
	1.89	3.22	4.30	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.88)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)	4.39 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
49.3%

Draw
29.4%

Botafogo SP
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Ceará - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ceará will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Richard (C) 18. Julio Cesar 4. Luiz Otavio 33. Eder 2. Ramos R. 81. Joao Gabriel 26. Richardson 17. Fernando 40. Melk 9. Wendel Silva 8. Matheus Araujo	1. Victor Souza (G) 3. Ericson 13. Wallace 4. Vilar 22. Gabriel Inocencio 20. Yuri Felipe 10. Rafael Gava 6. Patrick Brey (C) 11. Jefferson Nem 7. Kelvin 9. Hygor
Substitutes
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 88. Caio 60. Enzo Lodovico 63. Gilmar 35. Giulio 41. Gustavo Martins (G) 90. Kaua Ziegler 99. Lucca 13. Luiz Otavio 98. Matheusinho 80. Pedro Esli 12. Sanchez	18. Arthur Caike 34. Erik Rebello 15. Guilherme Mariano 17. Guilherme Queiroz 33. Hebert 32. Henrique Teles 12. Jordan (G) 31. Pedro Henrique 23. Wesley Santos 30. Ze Hugo
Coaches
Gomes F.	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Yuri Felipe 🟨,
19', Claudio Tencati 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Gabriel Inocencio ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
54', Fernando ↓, Sanchez ↑,
55', Ramos R. ↓, Enzo Lodovico ↑,
55', Wendel Silva ↓, Lucca ↑,
61', Matheus Araujo ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
66', Kelvin ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
66', Jefferson Nem ↓, Wesley Santos ↑,
67', Hygor ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
71', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
73', Eder 🟨,
77', 0 - 1, Rafael Gava ⚽,
79', Richardson ↓, Pedro Esli ↑,
83', Rafael Gava ↓, Erik Rebello ↑,
90+5', Lucca 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 16)

Recent performances by Ceará have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Botafogo SP's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ceará is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Ceará: Alex Silva (Inactive) Gustavo Prado (Inactive) Juan Alano (Inactive) Lucas Lima (Inactive) Ronald Carvalho (Muscle Injury) Vina (Inactive) Vinicius Zanocelo (Knee Injury) Wendel Silva (Inactive)

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao (Injury) Darlan (Inactive) Everton Morelli (Yellow Cards) Felipe Vieira (Yellow Cards) Jonathan (Inactive) Marco Antonio (Inactive) Thiago Moraes (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Ceará: Pedro Henrique (Inactive)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Leandro Maciel (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 3.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Ceara: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
15.06.26	Criciúma - Ceará	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Ceará - Avaí	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Ceará - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ceará	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLLW
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
14.06.26	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Vila Nova - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
01.06.26	Ponte Preta - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	Botafogo SP - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Goiás - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.11.24	Botafogo SP - Ceará	1:4
25.07.24	Ceará - Botafogo SP	4:1
04.11.23	Botafogo SP - Ceará	2:2
07.07.23	Ceará - Botafogo SP	3:0

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