Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Reitala O. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	The New Saints		Panathinaikos

	1	X	2
	9.5	5	1.27
	8	5.25	1.3
	9.5	5.5	1.3	Watch
	7.98	5.65	1.34
	7.84	5.58	1.32	Watch
	8.5	5	1.29
	9.65	5.44	1.33
	9.5	5.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.81 ↑ (7.25)	5.37 ↑ (3.8)	1.31 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
10.7%

Draw
17.5%

Panathinaikos
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

23%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

22.8%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Panathinaikos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panathinaikos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

The New Saints - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: Panathinaikos will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Roberts C. (G) 24. Baker A. 16. McGahey H. 2. Pask J. 22. Davies D. 19. Clark B. 14. Williams D. 10. Redmond D. (C) 18. Holden R. 17. Williams J. 8. Brobbel R.	69. Dragowski B. (G) 2. Vagiannidis G. 5. Schenkeveld B. 15. Ingason S. I. 25. Mladenovic F. 11. Bakasetas A. 55. Arao W. 20. Maksimovic N. 10. Tete 7. Ioannidis F. (C) 31. Djuricic F.
Substitutes
6. Bodenham J. 20. Bradley S. 27. Canavan J. 11. Cieslewicz A. 7. Daniels J. 33. Doforo N. 30. Edwards J. (G) 3. Marshall J. 9. McManus D. 21. Smith L. 28. Wilson A. 31. Woollam B.	30. Bregou A. 21. Jedvaj T. 29. Jeremejeff A. 27. Kotsiras G. 81. Lilo K. (G) 1. Lodygin Y. (G) 17. Mancini D. 3. Max P. 80. Ntampizas A. 8. Ounahi A.
Coaches
Harrison C.	Vitoria R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Baker A. ↓, Daniels J. ↑,
15', 0 - 1, Djuricic F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Schenkeveld B. ↓, Jedvaj T. ↑,
60', McGahey H. 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Ioannidis F. (Pen),
63', Williams J. ↓, McManus D. ↑,
63', Williams D. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
73', Djuricic F. ↓, Mancini D. ↑,
73', Mladenovic F. ↓, Max P. ↑,
79', Brobbel R. ↓, Bradley S. ↑,
79', Clark B. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
83', Vagiannidis G. 🟨,
90', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Kotsiras G. ↑,
90', Bakasetas A. ↓, Ounahi A. ↑,
90+5', Bradley S. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - The Croud Meadow.

Recent matches TNS is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Panathinaikos in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

TNS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Panathinaikos is absolute favorite.

There will not play in TNS: Astles R. (Injury)

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Sporar A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Ounahi A. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
04.12.24	Bala Town - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
01.12.24	Barry Town United - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	The New Saints - Djurgården	0:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.11.24	The New Saints - Pen-y-Bont	3:2 ✺
20.11.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - The New Saints	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL
- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
08.12.24	Asteras Tripolis - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
04.12.24	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
01.12.24	Panathinaikos - Atromitos Athens	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Panathinaikos - HJK	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
24.11.24	Panetolikos - Panathinaikos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWW

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