Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, TVG 2


	Celta de Vigo B		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.77	3.3	4.1
	1.8	3.6	4.34
	1.76	3.53	4.25	Watch
	1.77	3.54	4.27
	1.77	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.51)	3.43 ↑ (2.89)	4.23 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
51.8%

Draw
26.6%

Real Unión de Irun
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

31.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

32.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo B's performance.

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Unión de Irun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Unión de Irun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Celta de Vigo B - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vidal Girona M. V. (G) 19. El Abdellaoui J. 4. Alonso G. (C) 5. Lago Y. 23. Garriel I. 3. Tincho 15. Antanon A. 14. Burcio H. 8. Roman M. 17. Somuah B. 9. Escobar J.	13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 4. Olaortua I. (C) 6. Quintana A. 5. Dominguez J. 3. Marquez J. 21. San Bartolome V. 16. Vidorreta A. 8. Bilbao I. 20. Sergio Benito 7. Aranzabe A.
Substitutes
31. Arcos A. 1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 7. Diez S. 29. Gavian P. 16. Gonzalez H. 18. Lopez J. . Marcos O. 24. Vazquez J. 2. Vicente	17. Cayarga B. 22. Garrido D. 24. Munroe F. 11. Obieta K. 25. Perez C. (G) 18. Puig J. 10. Rivero Q. 1. Txusta (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', Roman M. 🟨,
36', Marquez J. ↓, Munroe F. ↑,
38', 0 - 1, Sergio Benito ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Dominguez J. (Own goal),
45+5', 2 - 1, Escobar J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', San Bartolome V. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
56', Burcio H. ↓, Diez S. ↑,
63', Marcos O. 🟨,
67', Olaortua I. ↓, Rivero Q. ↑,
67', Bilbao I. ↓, Puig J. ↑,
67', Eimil V. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
70', Marcos O. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
70', Escobar J. ↓, Guedes J. ↑,
76', Cayarga B. 🟥,
86', 🟨,
89', Tincho ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
89', El Abdellaoui J. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
90+4', Quintana A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).

Celta de Vigo B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Unión is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real Unión could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Celta de Vigo B is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celta de Vigo B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 2.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Celta de Vigo B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.02.25	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Celta de Vigo B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Celta de Vigo B - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Sestao - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.02.25	Real Unión de Irun - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Barakaldo - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:0 ✺
17.01.25	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Real Unión de Irun - Zamora	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.09.24	Real Unión de Irun - Celta de Vigo B	3:2
18.02.24	Real Unión de Irun - Celta de Vigo B	1:1
14.10.23	Celta de Vigo B - Real Unión de Irun	3:0
26.01.22	Celta de Vigo B - Real Unión de Irun	1:2
10.09.21	Real Unión de Irun - Celta de Vigo B	1:4

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