Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	Celtic		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.9	1.83
	4.2	4	1.78
	3.9	3.87	1.9
	3.75	3.8	1.86
	3.99	3.91	1.91
	3.9	3.7	1.88
	4.15	4.1	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.12)	3.9 ↑ (3.68)	1.87 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
24.1%

Draw
24.6%

Bayer Leverkusen
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

25.8%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

19.4%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celtic's form might have worsened.

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayer Leverkusen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	16%	72.9%

Celtic - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 144 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 16 - 11.1%). Bayer will win (votes: 105 - 72.9%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 65.6% – 80.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Celtic has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (9%), has a chance of 2nd (21%), has a chance of 3rd (40%), has a chance of round of 16 (17%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bayer has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (42%), has a chance of 2nd (35%), has a chance of 3rd (19%), has a good chance of round of 16 (60%), has a chance of qtrs (33%), has a chance of semis (17%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Recent matches Celtic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bayer is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bayer is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
26.09.21	Celtic - Dundee United	1:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
23.09.21	Celtic - Raith Rovers	3:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
19.09.21	Livingston - Celtic	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.21	Betis - Celtic	4:3 ✺
Scottish Premier League
11.09.21	Celtic - Ross County	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TWLLW
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
25.09.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz	1:0 ✺
19.09.21	Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Ferencvárosi	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
11.09.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund	3:4 ✺
28.08.21	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

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