Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Canal GOAT, SportyNet
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	Dash TV
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Stuttgart		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.8	Watch
	2.15	4	2.95
	2.28	3.95	2.78	Watch
	2.29	4.25	2.92
	2.23	4.16	2.83	Watch
	2.2	3.8	2.75	Watch
	2.28	4.16	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.08)	4.05 ↑ (4.01)	2.86 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
42.8%

Draw
23.7%

Bayer Leverkusen
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

23.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

24.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Bayer will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Bayer (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 18. Leweling J. 3. Hendriks R. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 30. Andres C. 6. Stiller A. 28. Nartey N. 26. Undav D. (C) 10. Fuhrich C. 9. Demirovic E.	1. Flekken M. (G) 4. Quansah J. 8. Andrich R. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 42. Culbreath M. 24. Garcia A. 25. Palacios E. 20. Grimaldo A. 14. Schick P. 30. Maza I. 35. Kofane C.
Substitutes
22. Assignon L. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 11. El Khannouss B. 14. Jaquez L. 15. Stenzel P. 8. Tomas T. 4. Vagnoman J. 23. Zagadou D.	13. Arthur 5. Bade L. 17. Ben Seghir E. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 6. Fernandez E. 7. Hofmann J. 21. Lucas 19. Poku E. 10. Tillman M.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽, Kofane C. (A),
5', 1 - 1, Demirovic E. ⚽, Nartey N. (A),
45+7', 2 - 1, Mittelstadt M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 1, Undav D. ⚽, Leweling J. (A),
65', Garcia A. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
65', Culbreath M. ↓, Arthur ↑,
68', Undav D. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
78', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Jaquez L. ↑,
78', Nartey N. ↓, El Khannouss B. ↑,
78', Kofane C. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
80', Fuhrich C. 🟨,
86', Quansah J. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
87', Fuhrich C. ↓, Assignon L. ↑,
87', Leweling J. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
90+7', Palacios E. 🟨,
90+7', Tomas T. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Jeltsch F. (Muscle Injury) Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Karazor A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Bayer: Terrier M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 26:43. (average 1.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10:5	5	7
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
26.04.26	Stuttgart - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.04.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	2:1 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
19.04.26	Bayern Munich - Stuttgart	4:2 ✺
12.04.26	Stuttgart - Hamburger SV	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWLW
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
02.05.26	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Köln - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern Munich	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
10.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	1:4
16.03.25	Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen	3:4
01.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	0:0
German Super Cup
17.08.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	3:2 penalties
German Bundesliga
27.04.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	2:2
German DFB Pokal
06.02.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	3:2
German Bundesliga
10.12.23	Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1

Upcoming Matches