Match Info

Premiership - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	SuperSport 1
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Germany	Sportdigital1+, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Ireland	NOW
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 1
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Celtic TV, Hearts TV, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
International	OneFootball TV


	Celtic		Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.33	4.50
	1.63	4.33	4.50
	1.60	4.00	4.75	Watch
	1.68	4.49	4.69
	1.58	4.7	4.84	Watch
	1.65	4.45	4.55
	1.65	4.40	4.82	Watch
	1.67	4.50	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.46)	4.4 ↓ (4.6)	4.68 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
58.1%

Draw
21.6%

Hearts
20.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.6%

20.5%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

22.8%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celtic's form might have worsened.

Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hearts's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celtic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hearts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Celtic - Hearts Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Celtic will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sinisalo V. (G) 51. Donovan C. 47. Murray D. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 42. McGregor C. (C) 22. Baur M. 23. Hassan H. 8. Nygren B. 19. Osmand C. 11. Duran C.	1. Reus B. (G) 23. Altena J. 64. Fagan-Walcott M. 5. McCart J. 3. Kingsley S. (C) 7. Miller C. 78. Mendy L. 6. McEntee O. 15. McPake J. 19. Guendouz S. 10. Braga C.
Substitutes
12. Emenalo L. 49. Forrest J. 9. Hogh K. 26. Johnstone S. (G) 7. Jota 29. Mheuka S. 21. Oxlade-Chamberlain A. 18. Sorensen O. 6. Trusty A.	77. Ba-Sy A. 17. Findlay S. 30. Fulton R. (G) 29. Kerjota S. 22. Magnusson T. 74. Mato R. 18. Milne H. 9. Williams J. 21. Wilson J.
Coaches
O'Neill Ma.	Vrancken W.

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celtic won 2.

Celtic is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hearts has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hearts could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Celtic carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Celtic: Carter-Vickers C. (Health problems) Johnston A. (Leg Injury).

Confirmed absences for Hearts: Ageu (Injury) Halkett C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Renaud T. (Ankle Injury) Spittal B. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Celtic: Yang Hyun-Jun (Hamstring Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Celtic has recorded 15 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:22 (averaging 2.4:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Celtic against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 25:9 goals (averaging 2.3:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Celtic	8	7	0	1	16:4	12	21
3	Hearts	8	5	1	2	19:8	11	16

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Celtic: 54.86% Hearts: 5.41%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Benfica - Celtic	4:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
11.10.26	Motherwell - Celtic	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Celtic - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
Scottish League Cup
13.09.26	Glasgow Rangers - Celtic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- Heart of Midlothian
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Hearts - Nordsjælland	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
10.10.26	Hearts - St. Mirren	5:0 ✺
19.09.26	Kilmarnock - Hearts	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Falkirk - Hearts	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
11.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Hearts	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
16.05.26	Celtic - Hearts	3:1
25.01.26	Hearts - Celtic	2:2
07.12.25	Celtic - Hearts	1:2
26.10.25	Hearts - Celtic	3:1
29.03.25	Celtic - Hearts	3:0
23.11.24	Hearts - Celtic	1:4
14.09.24	Celtic - Hearts	2:0

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