Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rumsas D. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	CMore
France	21:00	beIN Sports Max
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Portugal	20:00	Eleven Sports 5
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Celtic		Lazio

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.5
	2.75	3.4	2.5
	2.85	3.5	2.52	Watch
	2.77	3.3	2.54
	2.91	3.45	2.58
	2.7	3.5	2.45
	2.78	3.52	2.5
	2.8	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.82)	3.44 ↓ (3.49)	2.52 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
34.3%

Draw
27.8%

Lazio
38%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.3%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.4%	26.4%	47.2%

Celtic - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 19 - 26.4%). Lazio will win (votes: 34 - 47.2%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 26.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 35.7% – 58.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hart J. (G) 2. Johnston A. 6. Phillips N. 5. Scales L. 3. Taylor G. 33. O'Riley M. 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 38. Maeda D. 8. Furuhashi K. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun	94. Provedel I. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 4. Patric 13. Romagnoli A. 23. Hysaj E. 6. Kamada D. 5. Vecino M. 10. Luis Alberto 7. Felipe Anderson 17. Immobile C. (C) 20. Zaccagni M.
Substitutes
29. Bain S. (G) 28. Bernardo P. 20. Carter-Vickers C. 49. Forrest J. 24. Iwata T. 90. Johnston M. 43. Morrison J. (G) 19. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 7. Palma L. 56. Ralston A. 14. Turnbull D.	15. Casale N. 19. Castellanos T. 32. Cataldi D. 34. Gila M. 8. Guendouzi M. 18. Isaksen G. 53. Magro F. (G) 77. Marusic A. 9. Pedro 3. Pellegrini Lu. 65. Rovella N. 33. Sepe L. (G)
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Sarri M.

Preview

Celtic is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lazio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lazio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Celtic have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Celtic: Abada L. (Thigh Injury) Carter-Vickers C. (Muscle Injury) Holm O. T. (Red Card) Lagerbielke G. (Red Card) McCarthy J. (Muscle Injury) Nawrocki M. (Muscle Injury) Tilio M. (Injury) Welsh S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Celtic: Taylor G. (Calf Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Celtic won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Celtic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
30.09.23	Motherwell - Celtic	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Livingston - Celtic	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Feyenoord - Celtic	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
16.09.23	Celtic - Dundee	3:0 ✺
03.09.23	Glasgow Rangers - Celtic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
30.09.23	Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Lazio - Torino	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Lazio - Monza	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Lazio - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
16.09.23	Juventus - Lazio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
07.11.19	Lazio - Celtic	1:2
24.10.19	Celtic - Lazio	2:1

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