Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 6

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Central Coast Stadium (Gosford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Ukraine	Sport 1
United-kingdom	Sport 24 International
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Central Coast Mariners		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.63
	4.5	4.2	1.65	Watch
	4.68	4.41	1.62
	4.53	4.52	1.6	Watch
	4.5	4.33	1.55
	4.58	4.42	1.63	Watch
	4.5	4.33	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.54 ↑ (3.8)	4.34 ↑ (4.23)	1.61 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners
20.6%

Draw
21.5%

Yokohama F. Marinos
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

22.1%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

22.1%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	6.7%	86.7%

Central Coast Mariners - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: Yokohama F. Marinos will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 15. Roux S. 3. Kaltack B. (C) 33. Paull N. 12. Mauragis L. 10. Mikael Doka 8. McCalmont A. 16. Steele H. 11. Vitor Feijao 9. Kuol A. 99. Edmondson R.	21. Iikura H. (G) 27. Matsubara K. (C) 15. Kamijima T. 5. Eduardo 2. Nagato K. 13. Koike R. 28. Yamane R. 17. Inoue K. 9. Nishimura T. 11. Yan 10. Anderson Lopes
Substitutes
37. Brandtman B. 36. Eames H. 24. Herrington D. 17. James Ngor S. 27. Kuzevski S. 1. Pavlesic A. (G) 44. Scicluna L. 5. Smith N. 42. Smith R. 7. Theoharous C. 30. Warshawsky J. (G) 28. Wilson W.	20. Amano J. 49. Homma J. 24. Kato H. 23. Miyaichi R. 18. Mizunuma K. 1. Popp W. (G) 35. Sakakibara K. 31. Shirasaki F. (G) 14. Uenaka A. 39. Watanabe T.
Coaches
Jackson M.	Hutchinson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Inoue K. ⚽, Anderson Lopes (A),
30', 0 - 2, Inoue K. ⚽,
36', 0 - 3, Anderson Lopes ⚽, Yan (A),
40', Kamijima T. 🟨,
45', Edmondson R. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mikael Doka ↓, Eames H. ↑,
46', Vitor Feijao ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
46', Theoharous C. 🟨,
55', Nagato K. 🟨,
61', McCalmont A. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
63', Yamane R. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
64', Inoue K. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
70', 0 - 4, Amano J. ⚽,
75', Miyaichi R. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
75', Nishimura T. ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
75', Koike R. 🟨,
76', Kuol A. ↓, Kuzevski S. ↑,
79', Nagato K. ↓, Kato H. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Central Coast is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yokohama FM in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Central Coast could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Yokohama FM is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners
AFC Champions League
26.11.24	Vissel Kobe - Central Coast Mariners	3:2 ✺
Australian A-League
22.11.24	Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Shanghai Shenhua	2:2 ✺
Australian A-League
02.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTT
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
30.11.24	Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
27.11.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Pohang Steelers	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
16.11.24	Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:4 ✺
09.11.24	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
06.11.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Buriram United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

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