Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 5

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Referee: Al Jassim A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC 1, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sport 1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Sports18 3, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 2
United-kingdom	Sport 24 International
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Pohang Steelers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	5.25	6
	1.4	5	6.5	Watch
	1.4	5.39	6.29
	1.4	5.3	6.19	Watch
	1.33	5	6.5
	1.41	5.2	6.6	Watch
	1.4	5	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.65)	5.16 ↑ (4.19)	6.37 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
67.2%

Draw
18.1%

Pohang Steelers
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

22.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

21.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yokohama F. Marinos's performance.

Pohang Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pohang Steelers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama F. Marinos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pohang Steelers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Pohang Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: Yokohama F. Marinos will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Iikura H. (G) 27. Matsubara K. 15. Kamijima T. 5. Eduardo 2. Nagato K. 13. Koike R. 28. Yamane R. 11. Yan 9. Nishimura T. 7. Elber 10. Anderson Lopes	21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 29. Park Hyeong-Woo 34. Lee Gyu-Baeg 2. Eo Jeong-Won 89. Kim M. 11. Jo Seong-Jun 13. Yoon Seok-Joo 7. Kim In-Sung 10. Baek Sung-Dong 55. Choi Hyeon-Woong 88. Kim Dong Jin
Substitutes
20. Amano J. 45. Aziangbe K. 4. Hatanaka S. 17. Inoue K. 24. Kato H. 23. Miyaichi R. 18. Mizunuma K. 1. Popp W. (G) 35. Sakakibara K. 31. Shirasaki F. (G) 14. Uenaka A. 39. Watanabe T.	14. Heo Y. 70. Hwang Seo-woong 18. Kang Hyeon-Je 90. Kim Dong-Min 22. Kim Gyu-Hyeong 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 15. Lee Kyu-min 32. Lee Seung-Hwan (G) 39. Min Sang-Gi 19. Yoon Min-ho
Coaches
Hutchinson J.	Park Tae-Ha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Yan ⚽, Anderson Lopes (A),
45+4', Eduardo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Park Hyeong-Woo ↓, Kang Hyeon-Je ↑,
52', Yoon Seok-Joo ↓, Hwang Seo-woong ↑,
65', Eo Jeong-Won ↓, Lee Dong-Hyeop ↑,
65', Baek Sung-Dong ↓, Kim Gyu-Hyeong ↑,
76', Kang Hyeon-Je 🟨,
77', Kim In-Sung ↓, Yoon Min-ho ↑,
78', Koike R. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
79', Nishimura T. ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
79', Eduardo ↓, Watanabe T. ↑,
87', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
87', Elber ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
90+3', Lee Dong-Hyeop 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Anderson Lopes (Pen),
90+9', Kim M. (Pen),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Yokohama FM is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pohang is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yokohama FM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Yokohama FM is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
16.11.24	Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:4 ✺
09.11.24	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
06.11.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Buriram United	5:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
30.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
27.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWTL
- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
23.11.24	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
06.11.24	Pohang Steelers - Shandong Taishan	4:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
02.11.24	FC Seoul - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTL

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