Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Sports18 3, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Vissel Kobe		Central Coast Mariners

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	5.25	6.5
	1.42	5	6	Watch
	1.46	4.72	6.26
	1.44	4.79	6.19	Watch
	1.29	5.5	8
	1.38	5.2	7.4	Watch
	1.4	5.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.39)	5.14 ↑ (5.04)	6.62 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
67.4%

Draw
18.3%

Central Coast Mariners
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

18.5%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

17.6%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Vissel Kobe - Central Coast Mariners Predictions

Users Predictions: Vissel Kobe will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Arai S. (G) 81. Kikuchi R. 55. Iwanami T. 15. Honda Y. 23. Hirose R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 14. Yuruki K. 30. Yamauchi K. 96. Yamaguchi H. 22. Sasaki D. 26. Patric J.	40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 15. Roux S. 3. Kaltack B. 33. Paull N. 12. Mauragis L. 10. Mikael Doka 8. McCalmont A. 16. Steele H. 11. Vitor Feijao 99. Edmondson R. 9. Kuol A.
Substitutes
19. Hatsuse R. 44. Hidaka M. 7. Ideguchi Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 50. Obi P. O. (G) 60. Taiga K. (G) 35. Tominaga N.	37. Brandtman B. 36. Eames H. 24. Herrington D. 17. James Ngor S. 27. Kuzevski S. 1. Pavlesic A. (G) 44. Scicluna L. 5. Smith N. 7. Theoharous C. 30. Warshawsky J. (G)
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Jackson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Kikuchi R. ⚽, Iwanami T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Iwanami T. ↓, Hatsuse R. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Roux S. (Own goal),
52', Patric J. ↓, Miyashiro T. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Yamaguchi H. (Own goal),
61', Kaltack B. 🟨,
63', Kikuchi R. 🟨,
64', Vitor Feijao ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
64', Edmondson R. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Brandtman B. ⚽, Mikael Doka (A),
78', Yamaguchi H. ↓, Ideguchi Y. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Sasaki D. ⚽, Kuwasaki Y. (A),
85', Yamauchi K. ↓, Tominaga N. ↑,
85', Hirose R. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
87', Steele H. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

Vissel Kobe in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Central Coast is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vissel Kobe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vissel Kobe is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vissel Kobe to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan Emperors Cup
23.11.24	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
10.11.24	Tokyo Verdy - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Vissel Kobe - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.11.24	Vissel Kobe - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
27.10.24	Vissel Kobe - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWW
- Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League
22.11.24	Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Wellington Phoenix	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Shanghai Shenhua	2:2 ✺
Australian A-League
02.11.24	Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTTT

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