Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Referee: Fontes K. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Central Español		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.15	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.25
	3.37	3.15	2.45
	3.21	3.13	2.31	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.3
	3.24	2.96	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.69)	3.03 ↑ (2.83)	2.31 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
29.2%

Draw
30.6%

Deportivo Maldonado
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

33%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

31.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Central Español will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Maldonado will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Rodolfo (G) 17. Fernandez L. 2. Rodriguez I. 14. Villoldo A. 26. Cesar Nunes 4. Montiel M. 7. Munoz F. 28. Aguilera M. 30. Alonso M. 8. Camarda F. 9. Tarragona R.	25. Segovia D. (G) 4. Ginzo J. M. 3. Menosse H. 42. Fernandez J. 22. Ramos J. 17. Ramirez S. 8. Gonzalez M. 14. Tabo C. 10. Noble Sequeira A. M. 21. Espindola M. 16. Cesar R.
Substitutes
22. Aramburu E. 11. Gandulfo L. 23. Gonella I. 1. Marquez E. (G) 16. Mendez I. 10. Muniz R. 5. Navarro S. 21. Pino L. 27. Sosa F. 20. Vera D.	80. Centeno B. 9. de Leon E. 1. Freitas A. (G) 33. Fuica N. 15. Gonzalez S. 11. Lopez G. 5. Nunez L. 32. Petryk H. 20. Tormo S. 23. Vila A.
Coaches
de Ambrosio P.	Di Noia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Camarda F. ↓, Pino L. ↑,
29', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
30', Cesar R. 🟨,
37', Pino L. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Rodriguez I. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Cesar R. ⚽,
43', Fernandez L. 🟨,
45', Aguilera M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Menosse H. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Tarragona R. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Noble Sequeira A. M. 🟨,
70', Espindola M. 🟨,
71', Pino L. 🟨,
71', 🟨,
73', Aguilera M. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
74', Tarragona R. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
77', Alonso M. ↓, Muniz R. ↑,
82', Ginzo J. M. ↓, Lopez G. ↑,
87', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90', Ramirez S. ↓, de Leon E. ↑,
90', Menosse H. ↓, Petryk H. ↑,
90+3', Segovia D. 🟨,
90+4', Marquez E. 🟥,
90+7', Tabo C. ↓, Fuica N. ↑,
90+12', Noble Sequeira A. M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Central Español is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maldonado is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Español won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Maldonado	9	5	2	2	13:5	8	17

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Maldonado - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.69%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Central Español	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Montevideo City Torque - Central Español	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Central Español - Cerro Largo	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Defensor Sporting - Central Español	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Central Español - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLTL
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo City Torque	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Cerro Largo - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.08.25	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2
31.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	0:0
20.08.19	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1

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