The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Machida Zelvia 51.3%
Draw 25.8%
Cerezo Osaka 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
24%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
22.5%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
46.7%
13.3%
Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% โ 71.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Machida Zelvia (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 25%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 50. Okamura D. 3. Shoji G. 6. Mochizuki H. 16. Mae H. 19. Nakayama Y. 26. Hayashi K. 10. Na Sang-Ho 7. Soma Y. 9. Fujio S.
1. Fukui K. (G) 27. Cools D. 31. Inoue R. 44. Hatanaka S. 16. Okuda H. 5. Kida H. 10. Tanaka S. 77. Fernandes L. 13. Nakajima M. 11. Thiago Andrade 9. Rafael Ratao
Substitutes
15. Duke M. 31. Lavi N. 11. Masuyama A. 13. Morita T. (G) 22. Numata T. 90. Oh Se-Hun 8. Sento K. 18. Shimoda H. 23. Shirasaki R.
19. Homma S. 8. Kagawa S. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 33. Nishio R. 66. Ohata A. 17. Sakata R. 48. Shibayama M. 55. Vitor Bueno 35. Yoshino K.
Coaches
Kuroda G.
Papastamatis A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Na Sang-Ho ⚽, Mochizuki H. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Hayashi K. ⚽, Shoji G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
46', Nakajima M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
63', Fujio S. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
63', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Sento K. ↑,
64', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
64', Cools D. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
66', Tanaka S. 🟨,
76', Soma Y. 🟨,
79', 3 - 0, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
82', Hayashi K. ↓, Lavi N. ↑,
82', Soma Y. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
85', Fernandes L. 🟨,
87', Fernandes L. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
87', Mae H. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 3.
Machida Zelvia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Cerezo Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
Machida Zelvia could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
Nishimura T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Machida Zelvia - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.45%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Australia
China
Japan
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Tani K. (G) 
Dresevic I. 
Na Sang-Ho 
Cools D. 
Fernandes L. 
Duke M. 
Lavi N. 
