Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Cerrito		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.5
	6	3.9	1.51	Watch
	6	3.6	1.5
	5.8	3.8	1.51
	6.98	4.09	1.54
	6.5	3.6	1.5
	6.4	3.98	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.24 ↓ (6.95)	3.8 ↓ (4.11)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
14.8%

Draw
24.3%

Peñarol de Montevideo
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

23.1%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

23%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Cerrito - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 9).

Cerrito is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Peñarol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peñarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Peñarol is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerrito won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.04.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerrito	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Cerrito - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
22.03.22	Cerro Largo - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
11.03.22	Cerrito - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
28.02.22	River Plate Montevideo - Cerrito	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
12.04.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.04.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.04.22	Colón - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.04.22	Rentistas - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
19.03.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
04.11.21	Cerrito - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3
11.07.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerrito	2:0
01.06.12	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerrito	1:0

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