Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 22

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Uruguay	16:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Cerrito		Tacuarembó

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.30	3.80
	2.00	3.15	3.35
	1.88	3.46	4.20
	1.89	3.52	3.91	Watch
	1.85	3.40	3.85
	1.84	3.47	4.20
	1.76	3.30	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.98)	3.37 ↑ (3.1)	3.9 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
49.3%

Draw
27.2%

Tacuarembó
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

28.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

27.6%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Cerrito - Tacuarembó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Enzo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
85', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
89', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 1.

In recent outings, Cerrito has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Tacuarembó is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Tacuarembó could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Cerrito is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Cerrito has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:10 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerrito against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:6 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cerrito	24	8	9	7	31:28	3	33
13	Tacuarembo	24	6	7	11	18:27	-9	25

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuarembó - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.22%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguay Copa
07.10.26	Cerrito - Montevideo Wanderers	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.10.26	Plaza Colonia - Cerrito	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Cerrito - La Luz	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerrito	1:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.09.26	Cerrito - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLWT
- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.10.26	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
28.09.26	Paysandú - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Tacuarembó - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.26	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:0
29.03.26	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	1:1
24.08.25	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	1:1
03.06.25	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	2:0
16.11.24	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	3:1
27.07.24	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:2
26.11.23	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:1

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