Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Cerrito		Tacuarembó

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.15	3.6
	1.92	3.42	3.78	Watch
	1.94	3.2	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.98)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerrito
47.3%

Draw
27.9%

Tacuarembó
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

27.6%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Cerrito - Tacuarembó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 1.

Cerrito has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Tacuarembó has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cerrito holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Cerrito has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:10 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerrito against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:6 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cerrito	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuarembó - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.22%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguay Copa
07.10.26	Cerrito - Montevideo Wanderers	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.10.26	Plaza Colonia - Cerrito	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Cerrito - La Luz	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
23.09.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerrito	1:3 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.09.26	Cerrito - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLWT
- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.10.26	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
28.09.26	Paysandú - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Tacuarembó - Huracán Paso de la Arena	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Tacuarembó - Oriental de La Paz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.26	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:0
29.03.26	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	1:1
24.08.25	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	1:1
03.06.25	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	2:0
16.11.24	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	3:1
27.07.24	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:2
26.11.23	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:1

Cerrito - Tacuarembó: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide