Match Info

Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
South-america	ESPN South
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+, VTV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerro Largo		Atlético Tucumán

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.08
	3.58	2.89	2.17	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2
	3.19	3.16	2.12	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.45)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.12 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
28%

Draw
28.8%

Atlético Tucumán
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.3%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Largo's form might have worsened.

Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Tucumán's recent form is better than expected.

Cerro Largo - Atlético Tucumán Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pintado F. (G) 4. de Souza Herrera R. 14. Correa L. 2. Chocobar G. F. 20. Franca S. 7. Viera G. 15. Assis S. (C) 8. Garcia M. 30. Hernandez B. 9. Correa T. 19. Sellecchia F.	1. Ingolotti L. (G) 24. Di Placido L. 6. Ferrari G. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 21. Galvan I. 11. Tesuri R. 45. Ortiz K. 31. Godoy L. 23. Lamendola N. 22. Ruiz R. 9. Diaz L.
Substitutes
11. Anasco M. 12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 25. Jourdan E. 5. Marcel S. 6. Monserrat M. 10. Pandiani A.	35. Abeldano G. 30. Brondo M. 28. Compagnucci G. 25. Durso T. (G) 10. Franco N. 8. Ham E. 7. Martin Benitez 32. Paunero R. 34. Roman P. 36. Vallejo L. 3. Villa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Sellecchia F. ⚽,
23', Correa L. 🟨,
37', Ortiz K. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Ferrari G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Godoy L. ↓, Ham E. ↑,
46', Ingolotti L. ↓, Durso T. ↑,
46', Garcia M. ↓, Marcel S. ↑,
46', Correa T. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
46', Hernandez B. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
46', Franca S. ↓, Monserrat M. ↑,
46', Viera G. ↓, Pandiani A. ↑,
46', Sellecchia F. ↓, Daguerre D. ↑,
46', Assis S. ↓, Jourdan E. ↑,
46', Chocobar G. F. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
46', Correa L. ↓, Piegas A. ↑,
46', de Souza Herrera R. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Diaz L. ⚽,
60', Ferrari G. ↓, Vallejo L. ↑,
60', Tesuri R. ↓, Martin Benitez ↑,
60', Diaz L. ↓, Brondo M. ↑,
60', Di Placido L. ↓, Compagnucci G. ↑,
63', Marcel S. 🟨,
66', Compagnucci G. 🟨,
70', Ferreira Namandu C. D. ↓, Villa M. ↑,
70', Lamendola N. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
70', Ruiz R. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
70', Galvan I. ↓, Paunero R. ↑,
73', Roman P. 🟨,
82', Pandiani A. 🟨,
90', Ortiz K. 🟨,

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerro Largo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Cerro Largo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Tucumán - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.1%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.11.25	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Plaza Colonia - Cerro Largo	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cerro Largo - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Cerro Largo - Boston River	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTTT
- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.11.25	Lanús - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Atlético Tucumán - Godoy Cruz	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	3:0 ✺
20.10.25	Atlético Tucumán - San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Serie Rio de la Plata
15.01.24	Cerro Largo - Atlético Tucumán	0:1

Upcoming Matches