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Current Win Probability
Cerro Porteño 37.7%
Draw 30%
Colón 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
29.2%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
28.4%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro Porteño's form might have worsened.
Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colón's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro Porteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.1%
28.1%
43.7%
Cerro Porteño - Colón Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Colón will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Colón: 26.6% – 61%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Cerro Porteño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.