Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Cerro Porteño		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.45	5.4	Watch
	1.65	3.61	6.41
	1.67	3.43	6.22	Watch
	1.65	3.25	5.75
	1.69	3.58	5.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)	3.49 ↓ (3.68)	5.9 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
56.9%

Draw
27.1%

Sporting Cristal
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

25.6%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sporting Cristal (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cerro Porteño will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin A. (G) 2. Dominguez F. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 22. Perez M. 13. Benitez A. G. 5. Morel J. 26. Piris R. 32. Bobadilla C. 10. Dominguez C. 19. Vegetti P. 27. Torres J.	1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 96. Abram L. 55. Cazonatti G. 25. Tavara M. 27. Gabriel 19. Yotun Y. (C) 23. Castro M. 11. Avila I.
Substitutes
31. Aliseda I. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 28. Franco C. 30. Gimenez G. 33. Gomez R. 11. Iturbe J. 40. Klimowicz M. 6. Luciatti A. 8. Paredes C. 16. Peralta F. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 39. Servin L. J.	33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 21. Cabellos C. 41. Cuenca J. 34. del Valle Y. 32. Diaz L. 16. Iberico L. 37. Lora F. 28. Otoya D. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 97. Rodriguez M. 26. Wisdom I.
Coaches
Holan A.	Ze Ricardo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Abram L. 🟨,
42', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
45+1', Tavara M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Vegetti P. ⚽, Morel J. (A),
61', Abram L. ↓, Lora F. ↑,
61', Tavara M. ↓, Iberico L. ↑,
63', Bobadilla C. 🟨,
67', 2 - 0, Dominguez C. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Avila I. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
69', Gabriel ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
69', Bobadilla C. ↓, Aliseda I. ↑,
70', Torres J. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
76', Vegetti P. 🟨,
76', Cabellos C. 🟨,
79', Dominguez C. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
83', Castro M. ↓, del Valle Y. ↑,
89', Velazquez G. ↓, Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↑,
90+5', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 🟨,

Preview

Cerro Porteño is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Cerro Porteño is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sporting Cristal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cerro Porteño is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Aguayo G. (Surgery) Amarilla L. (Inactive) Araujo S. (Inactive) Gimenez G. (Injury) Mosquera H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cristiano (Yellow Cards) Gonzales C. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Muscle Injury) Iberico L. (Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cerro Porteño: Dominguez C. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Cerro Porteno: 1.23%

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro Porteño - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.52%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.05.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	3:1 ✺
11.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WWLTW
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
24.05.26	Sporting Cristal - ADT Tarma	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
15.05.26	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Alianza Lima - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.26	Sporting Cristal - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño	1:0
13.05.25	Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño	0:1
24.04.25	Cerro Porteño - Sporting Cristal	2:2

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