Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Junior Barranquilla		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.9	Watch
	2	3.25	3.7
	2.02	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.06	3.35	4.13
	1.98	3.33	4.05	Watch
	2	3	3.75
	2.08	3.25	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)	3.25 ↑ (3.24)	3.88 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
46.7%

Draw
29%

Cerro Porteño
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

29.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Junior Barranquilla - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Junior Barranquilla will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 24. Pestana J. 33. Monzon L. 26. Suarez Y. 22. Rivas J. 14. Rios J. 9. Paiva G. 29. Gutierrez T. (C) 21. Canchimbo J. 10. Muriel L.	1. Martin A. (G) 2. Dominguez F. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 22. Perez M. 35. Chaparro M. 32. Bobadilla C. 26. Piris R. 5. Morel J. 7. Sonora A. 19. Vegetti P. 27. Torres J.
Substitutes
80. Angel Bernal F. S. 70. Bacca C. 77. Barrios C. 88. Castrillon B. 8. Chara Y. 3. Herrera E. 30. Martinez J. (G) 27. Navia J. 18. Perez K. 5. Rivera D. 7. Rivera H. 20. Sarmiento J.	38. Cristaldo A. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 33. Gomez R. 11. Iturbe J. 40. Klimowicz M. 18. Melgarejo R. 24. Paez E. 8. Paredes C. 16. Peralta F. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 42. Sanchez V. 20. Viera W.
Coaches
Arias A.	Holan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽,
45+3', Martin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Paiva G. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
62', Velazquez G. 🟨,
63', Bobadilla C. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
63', Sonora A. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
63', Guerrero J. 🟨,
67', Guerrero J. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
68', Gutierrez T. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
80', Dominguez F. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
81', Rivas J. ↓, Chara Y. ↑,
81', Torres J. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
81', Canchimbo J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
90', Pestana J. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Junior will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Junior: Pena J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Aguayo G. (Inactive) Aliseda I. (Inactive) Araujo S. (Inactive) Gimenez G. (Inactive) Luciatti A. (Inactive) Mosquera H. (Inactive) Riveros B. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Junior won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Junior won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Cerro Porteno: 1.23%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto	4:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
24.04.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	Olimpia Asuncion Awarded ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTT?W

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla	1:0
Copa Sudamericana
19.09.17	Junior Barranquilla - Cerro Porteño	3:1
12.09.17	Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla	0:0

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