Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	23:00	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	12:00	beIN Connect
Bolivia	22:00	ESPN
Brazil	23:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	22:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	21:00	Disney+, ESPN
Ecuador	21:00	ESPN
Italy	04:00	Como TV
Mexico	20:00	Disney+
New Zealand	14:00	beIN Connect
Paraguay	22:00	ESPN
Peru	21:00	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	23:00	Disney+
Usa	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	22:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Junior Barranquilla		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.9	Watch
	2	3.25	3.7
	2.02	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.06	3.35	4.13
	1.98	3.33	4.05	Watch
	2	3	3.75
	2.08	3.25	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)	3.25 ↑ (3.24)	3.88 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
46.7%

Draw
29%

Cerro Porteño
24.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

29.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Junior Barranquilla - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Junior Barranquilla will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 24. Pestana J. 33. Monzon L. 26. Suarez Y. 22. Rivas J. 14. Rios J. 9. Paiva G. 29. Gutierrez T. (C) 21. Canchimbo J. 10. Muriel L.	1. Martin A. (G) 2. Dominguez F. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 22. Perez M. 35. Chaparro M. 32. Bobadilla C. 26. Piris R. 5. Morel J. 7. Sonora A. 19. Vegetti P. 27. Torres J.
Substitutes
80. Angel Bernal F. S. 70. Bacca C. 77. Barrios C. 88. Castrillon B. 8. Chara Y. 3. Herrera E. 30. Martinez J. (G) 27. Navia J. 18. Perez K. 5. Rivera D. 7. Rivera H. 20. Sarmiento J.	38. Cristaldo A. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 33. Gomez R. 11. Iturbe J. 40. Klimowicz M. 18. Melgarejo R. 24. Paez E. 8. Paredes C. 16. Peralta F. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 42. Sanchez V. 20. Viera W.
Coaches
Arias A.	Holan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽,
45+3', Martin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Paiva G. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
62', Velazquez G. 🟨,
63', Bobadilla C. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
63', Sonora A. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
63', Guerrero J. 🟨,
67', Guerrero J. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
68', Gutierrez T. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
80', Dominguez F. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
81', Rivas J. ↓, Chara Y. ↑,
81', Torres J. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
81', Canchimbo J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
90', Pestana J. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Junior will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Junior: Pena J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Aguayo G. (Inactive) Aliseda I. (Inactive) Araujo S. (Inactive) Gimenez G. (Inactive) Luciatti A. (Inactive) Mosquera H. (Inactive) Riveros B. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Junior won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Junior won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto	4:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
24.04.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.05.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	Olimpia Asuncion Awarded ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTT?W

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla	1:0
Copa Sudamericana
19.09.17	Junior Barranquilla - Cerro Porteño	3:1
12.09.17	Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla	0:0

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