Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	Ceuta		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.57	3.75	5.2
	1.55	3.85	4.9
	1.58	4	5.51
	1.48	4.15	6.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)	3.89 ↑ (3.24)	5.38 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
59.4%

Draw
23.6%

Cacereño
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

27.7%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

29.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Ceuta - Cacereño Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cacereño will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Cacereño is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs)

Ceuta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cacereño is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ceuta is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.05.22	Córdoba - Ceuta	3:2 ✺
01.05.22	Ceuta - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Antequera - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
17.04.22	Ceuta - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	UD San Fernando - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLWL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.05.22	Cacereño - Panadería Pulido	4:2 ✺
01.05.22	Las Palmas B - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Cacereño - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Villanovense - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Montijo - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.01.22	Cacereño - Ceuta	2:0

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